446
FNUS74 KBMX 161047
FWSBMX

Spot Forecast for Rocky Branch WF...USDA Forest Service
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
547 AM CDT Thu Oct 16 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0730 CDT on October 16.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

Warm and sunny conditions are expected today at the wildfire location
in western Cleburne County. Easterly transport winds will transition
to the northeast by this afternoon, but speeds will decrease to around
8 mph. 20ft winds will also be on the lighter side today, less than 5
mph. Min RH will range from 35 to 40%, and a subtle increase in moisture
is expected tomorrow as winds shift to the south during the morning.
Min RH tomorrow afternoon will be in the 40-45% range with warm
temperatures expected once again.


.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 84.
Min humidity........36 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming east around 5 mph early in
                    the morning, then becoming light in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......4500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 7 to 14 mph.
Dispersion index....6 increasing to 35 late in the morning.
LVORI...............3.

TIME (CDT)      7 AM   9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
Sky (%).........4      2      4      6      3      2
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0      0      0      0      0      0
Temp............54     64     76     81     84     82
RH..............90     67     45     38     36     38
20 FT wind......NE 3   E 5    E 5    E 3    NE 3   NE 2
20 FT wind gust.10     10     10     8      7      7
20 FT wind dir..060    070    080    070    050    040
Mix hgt (ft)....400    1300   2700   4000   4500   3200
Transport wind..E 10   E 14   E 12   NE 8   NE 7   NE 8
Dispersion idx..5      6      39     39     36     31
LVORI...........4      4      2      1      1      2

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (0-10 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 55.
Max humidity........86 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 7 to 9 mph shifting to the southeast
                    overnight.
Dispersion index....4.
LVORI...............4.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........3      5      9      11     11     8
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0      0      0      0      0      0
Temp............77     67     63     60     58     57
RH..............47     68     75     78     80     80
20 FT wind......NE 2   NE 2   NE 2   E 2    E 2    E 2
20 FT wind gust.6      6      6      6      6      7
20 FT wind dir..040    050    060    080    090    100
Mix hgt (ft)....500    400    400    400    400    400
Transport wind..NE 7   NE 8   E 9    E 7    E 8    SE 8
Dispersion idx..5      5      5      3      4      4
LVORI...........2      3      4      4      5      5

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 83.
Min humidity........38 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southeast around 5 mph in
                    the late morning and early afternoon, then
                    becoming light late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......4500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 6 to 12 mph decreasing to around 5 mph
                    late in the afternoon.
Dispersion index....5 increasing to 33 late in the morning, then
                    decreasing to 21 late in the afternoon.
LVORI...............4.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........10     6      11     27     40     51
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0      0      0      0      0      0
Temp............55     59     71     78     82     82
RH..............86     80     59     47     40     41
20 FT wind......E 2    SE 3   SE 5   S 5    S 5    S 3
20 FT wind gust.7      8      10     10     8      8
20 FT wind dir..100    120    150    160    160    170
Mix hgt (ft)....400    600    1800   3700   4400   4500
Transport wind..SE 9   SE 9   S 12   S 8    S 6    S 5
Dispersion idx..4      4      5      36     30     18
LVORI...........5      4      2      2      2      2

$$
Forecaster...Martin
Requested by...Aidan Jenkins
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2523644.1/BMX
.DELDT 10/16/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0