Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Birmingham, AL

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FNUS74 KBMX 071212
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Spot Forecast for Odum Point Wildfire...USFS
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
712 AM CDT Tue Oct 7 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0700 CDT on October 07.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

Mostly cloudy and warm conditions are expected again today at the
wildfire location in northern Clay County. Conditions remain very
dry, but there will be low rain chances today. Although, forecast rain
amounts are very low if a brief shower occurs. MinRH during the next
couple of days will remain well above critical thresholds. Transport
winds will gradually shift from the southeast to the south by midday
at 10 to 15 mph. Low rain chances continue overnight as a weak cold
front moves into the area. Once the front passes through, winds
will shift to the north by Wednesday morning.


.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers through the day. Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms in the afternoon.
CWR.................20 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 79.
Min humidity........62 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 5 to 8 mph becoming light.
                    Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......3300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 8 to 15 mph.
Dispersion index....12 increasing to 27 late in the morning, then
                    decreasing to 17 late in the afternoon.
LVORI...............3.

TIME (CDT)      7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........65  59  58  57  54  55  63  59  51  46  44
Weather cov.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                        SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
CWR.............20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20
Temp............67  69  70  72  74  76  77  77  77  77  78
RH..............90  84  78  73  69  64  62  64  64  64  62
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind dir..130 130 140 140 150 160 160 160 170 160 160
20 FT wind spd..8   7   7   7   7   6   5   5   5   5   3
20 FT wind gust.10  10  10  12  11  10  10  10  8   8   7
Mix hgt (kft)...0.1 0.7 0.8 1.3 2.0 2.8 3.3 3.1 2.8 2.4 1.7
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.12  15  15  14  14  12  12  10  12  9   8
Dispersion idx..10  13  13  12  27  26  29  25  27  27  17
LVORI...........4   4   4   3   3   3   2   2   2   3   3

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Chance of
                    thunderstorms in the evening. Chance of showers
                    through the night. Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms overnight.
CWR.................20 percent increasing to 30 percent early in
                    the evening, then decreasing to 20 percent late
                    in the evening increasing to 30 percent
                    overnight.
Min temperature.....Around 66.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms in the evening.
Mixing height.......0 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 5 to 8 mph shifting to the southwest
                    around 5 mph early in the morning.
Dispersion index....2.
LVORI...............7.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........47  47  46  45  43  47  52  61  65  72  73  77
Weather cov.....SCH CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........SCH CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH
CWR.............20  30  30  30  20  20  20  30  30  30  30  30
Temp............75  72  70  69  68  69  68  68  67  67  67  67
RH..............69  79  90  97  97  97  97  97  100 100 100 100
20 FT wind dir..S   SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SW
20 FT wind dir..160 150 160 180 160 180 180 170 190 190 200 230
20 FT wind spd..2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
20 FT wind gust.6   6   6   6   6   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
Mix hgt (kft)...0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SW
Transp wind spd.8   7   6   6   7   7   6   7   7   7   5   5
Dispersion idx..3   1   1   1   1   1   3   3   3   3   2   2
LVORI...........3   7   7   7   10  10  10  9   9   9   9   9

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Chance of showers
                    early in the morning, then slight chance of
                    showers. Slight chance of thunderstorms in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
CWR.................30 percent decreasing to 20 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 77.
Min humidity........64 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming north 5 to 6 mph in the
                    afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms in the late morning and
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......3000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 3 to 5 mph shifting to the north 6 to
                    9 mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Dispersion index....3 increasing to 16 late in the morning.
LVORI...............6.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........79  72  70  70  70  68  67  66  62  58  54  52
Weather cov.....CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
CWR.............30  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20
Temp............66  67  68  70  72  74  74  74  75  76  76  74
RH..............100 100 97  90  81  74  74  71  66  64  64  69
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
20 FT wind dir..240 240 350 350 350 350 350 350 350 000 000 000
20 FT wind spd..2   2   2   2   3   3   5   5   5   6   6   6
20 FT wind gust.5   5   6   6   7   8   8   10  10  11  12  13
Mix hgt (kft)...0.1 0.2 0.1 0.6 1.6 2.3 2.8 3.0 3.0 2.8 2.3 1.5
Transp wind dir.W   NW  NW  NW  N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
Transp wind spd.5   5   3   5   6   6   7   7   8   8   9   9
Dispersion idx..2   2   2   2   4   12  16  16  19  18  19  15
LVORI...........9   8   8   8   4   4   4   3   3   3   3   3

$$
Forecaster...Martin
Requested by...Ricky Watson
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2523079.0/BMX
.DELDT 10/07/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0