Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Birmingham, AL

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FNUS74 KBMX 062040
FWSBMX

Spot Forecast for Night - Adams Gap A...USFS
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
340 PM CDT Tue May 6 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1600 CDT on May 06.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.


.DISCUSSION...

Generally light winds expected with RHs recovering to near 90%
overnight. Rain chances increase overnight with the system moving
through. Thunderstorms expected by tomorrow morning at the Adams Gap
site with 70-80% CWR through the morning hours.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 76.
Min humidity........37 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......5100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 6 to 7 mph.
Dispersion index....44 decreasing to 33 late in the afternoon.
LVORI...............1.

TIME (CDT)      4 PM
Sky (%).........36
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0
Temp............76
RH..............37
20 FT wind......W 2
20 FT wind gust.6
20 FT wind dir..280
Mix hgt (ft)....5100
Transport wind..W 7
Dispersion idx..44
LVORI...........1

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers overnight. Rain showers likely after 3
                    am.
CWR.................10 percent increasing to 60 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 56.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southeast around 6 mph
                    early in the morning.
Mixing height.......200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 5 mph shifting to the
                    northeast around 3 mph early in the evening,
                    then shifting to the east 5 to 6 mph late in
                    the evening shifting to the southwest around 6
                    mph late in the evening shifting to the
                    southeast 5 to 9 mph.
Dispersion index....15 decreasing to 4.
LVORI...............3.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........52     71     75     85     90     94
Weather cov.....                            CHANCE LIKELY
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0      0      10     10     50     60
Temp............74     66     63     61     61     59
RH..............43     63     70     78     81     87
20 FT wind......N 2    N 2    E 2    SE 2   SE 2   SE 3
20 FT wind gust.5      4      5      5      6      6
20 FT wind dir..350    000    090    150    150    130
Mix hgt (ft)....2600   200    200    200    200    200
Transport wind..W 5    NE 3   E 6    SE 5   S 7    SE 8
Dispersion idx..15     1      1      2      3      5
LVORI...........1      3      3      3      5      5

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Rain showers and slight
                    chance of thunderstorms in the morning, then
                    rain showers likely and chance of thunderstorms
                    in the afternoon.
CWR.................60 percent increasing to 80 percent early in
                    the morning, then decreasing to 70 percent late
                    in the morning decreasing to 50 percent in the
                    afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 71.
Min humidity........71 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds around 7 mph shifting to the
                    south 5 to 7 mph late in the afternoon, then
                    becoming light late in the afternoon. Gusty and
                    erratic winds expected near thunderstorms in
                    the late morning and early afternoon. Gusty and
                    erratic winds expected near thunderstorms late
                    in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......1900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 8 to 14 mph shifting to the southwest
                    8 to 12 mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Dispersion index....10 increasing to 21 late in the morning, then
                    increasing to 23 late in the afternoon
                    decreasing to 17 late in the afternoon.
LVORI...............5.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........95     90     91     91     90     83
Weather cov.....LIKELY DEFNTE LIKELY LIKELY CHANCE CHANCE
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........              S CHC  S CHC  CHANCE S CHC
CWR.............60     80     70     70     50     50
Temp............59     59     62     64     68     69
RH..............90     93     87     84     73     73
20 FT wind......SE 7   SE 7   S 7    S 7    S 7    S 5
20 FT wind gust.8      10     10     10     10     8
20 FT wind dir..120    140    160    170    180    160
Mix hgt (ft)....300    500    1100   1900   1900   1500
Transport wind..SE 8   S 13   S 12   S 9    SW 12  SW 9
Dispersion idx..7      11     10     22     27     18
LVORI...........5      6      4      4      3      3

$$
Forecaster...Owen
Requested by...McFarland
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2513255.0/BMX
.DELDT 05/06/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0