493
FXUS64 KBMX 191935
AFDBMX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
235 PM CDT Sat Oct 19 2024

...New LONG TERM...

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Sunday)
Issued at 133 PM CDT SAT OCT 19 2024

Upper level ridge will remain established across the southeast
states, along with surface high pressure covering much of the
eastern third of the country. The combination of the two will
continue to lead to dry weather across Central Alabama, with
clear skies and a slow but steady warming trend.

/61/

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Sunday night through next Friday)
Issued at 235 PM CDT SAT OCT 19 2024

The weather across C AL will remain dry throughout the extended
forecast. Surface ridging across E Conus for the first half of the
extended gets reinforced on Thursday with a dry front to move
through AL and rebuild ridging on through next weekend.

08

Previous long-term discussion:
(Sunday night through Friday)
Issued at 330 AM CDT SAT OCT 19 2024

The long term period continues to look uneventful with no rain in
sight. A cutoff upper-level trough will be located north of the
Bahamas on Monday and Tuesday as shortwave embedded within the jet
stream moves eastward toward the Ohio Valley. A ridge axis will
persist across Alabama between these two systems resulting in
large diurnal temperature swings. West to northwest flow at 500 mb
is expected to prevail through the rest of the week with small
day-to-day fluctuations in temperatures. The majority of the area
should experience afternoon highs ranging from the upper 70s to
lower 80s through next week. Morning lows should gradually trend
upward from the 40s on Monday morning to the 50s by midweek.

87/Grantham

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1242 PM CDT SAT OCT 19 2024

All signs continue to point to a VFR forecast across central
Alabama TAF locations through the next 24 hour period.

/61/

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...

Rain chances remain absent from the forecast through next week.
Afternoon minimum relative humidity values dip below 30 percent
in some areas, but low level winds will remain fairly light,
generally 7 mph or less.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Gadsden     40  80  43  80 /   0   0   0   0
Anniston    41  80  44  80 /   0   0   0   0
Birmingham  44  80  48  80 /   0   0   0   0
Tuscaloosa  43  80  46  81 /   0   0   0   0
Calera      45  80  49  81 /   0   0   0   0
Auburn      46  78  50  79 /   0   0   0   0
Montgomery  44  80  47  81 /   0   0   0   0
Troy        44  79  47  79 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM.../61/
LONG TERM....08/87/Grantham
AVIATION.../61/