475
FXUS64 KBMX 060603
AFDBMX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
1203 AM CST Sat Dec 6 2025

...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1202 AM CST SAT DEC 6 2025

 - Below average high temperatures are anticipated through
   Tuesday, with the exception of Sunday being near average.

 - Low temperatures Monday night are likely to dip into the mid to
   upper 20s across much of Central Alabama, with the exception of
   southeastern counties.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
(Today through next Friday)
Issued at 1202 AM CST SAT DEC 6 2025

Today through Sunday

Higher rains chances continue today across the southeastern
counties, especially south of the I-85 corridor. Additional rain
totals will generally be less than a half inch. Highs in the low to
mid 50s today and mid 50s to low 60s on Sunday as the region sees
some warming in advance of an approaching trough. Rain chances will
return across the entire area Sunday afternoon into early Monday
morning as a cold front sweeps through the area.

Monday through Friday

Dry conditions are expected Monday through Wednesday across Central
Alabama. Monday will be a touch cooler than Sunday but highs will
rebound back to the upper 50s to mid 60s by Wednesday. Monday night
is still on track to be a cold one, with lows in the 20s across most
areas north and west of the I-85 corridor. Another trough drops into
the Ohio Valley region by way of Alberta, Montana, and the Dakotas
by Wednesday evening. Maintaining rain chances from Wednesday night
into Friday morning as 2-3 shortwaves work through the region.
Thursday will potentially be the warmest day of the week, with mid
to upper 60s across the southern half of the area.

12

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1202 AM CST SAT DEC 6 2025

Periodic light rain remains in the forecast for AUO and MGM, with a
PROB30 for -RA in effect from 10z through 19z. From now through the
mid-morning hours, reduced cigs into the IFR or LIFR range can be
expected at all sites. This will improve back to MVFR by mid morning
and VFR by afternoon at BHM, TCL, and EET. MGM and AUO may hang on
to IFR or MVFR a little longer but should improve to VFR by mid to
late afternoon as well.

12

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...

Light rain remains in the forecast through the weekend. MinRH values
will remain above 50% through Monday, and above 40% Tuesday and
Wednesday. Fire weather concerns remain limited through mid week.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Gadsden     52  31  56  38 /  10   0  20  50
Anniston    52  34  59  40 /  20   0  20  50
Birmingham  52  36  58  41 /  10   0  20  50
Tuscaloosa  54  37  61  41 /  10   0  20  40
Calera      54  36  61  40 /  20   0  20  50
Auburn      53  41  58  44 /  50   0  30  50
Montgomery  54  41  59  45 /  50  10  30  50
Troy        53  42  60  44 /  80  20  30  50

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

DISCUSSION...12
AVIATION...12