729
FXUS64 KBMX 272030
AFDBMX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
230 PM CST Thu Nov 27 2025

...New DISCUSSION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 217 PM CST THU NOV 27 2025

 - Clear and colder conditions expected through Friday.

 - A rainy pattern returns Saturday night through Tuesday.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
(This evening through next Wednesday)
Issued at 217 PM CST THU NOV 27 2025

Surface high pressure will keep conditions dry and seasonably
chilly through the rest of the week and the start of the weekend.
The next in a series of upper level shortwave troughs will move
into the eastern half of the country and bring a change back to
unsettled weather in the Saturday night to Tuesday time frame.

In the northern half of the CWA, the rain will probably come in
two waves...one on Sunday and Sunday night, and the other Monday
night through Tuesday. In the south half, the cold front
associated with the upper trough may stall out, causing showery
weather to continue to linger longer Sunday night into Monday
and/or start earlier Monday evening.

Models are in rather good agreement in ending the precipitation
during the day on Tuesday. That will return our region to a dry
and seasonably cold regime once again through the middle of next
week.

/61/

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1122 AM CST THU NOV 27 2025

Essentially just a wind speed/gust forecast for central Alabama
TAF sites over the next 24 hours. Gusty winds this afternoon will
diminish pretty quickly after sunset. Otherwise, all signs point
to clear skies.

/61/

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...

A very dry airmass will overspread the region this afternoon with
RH values falling to 25-30 percent. Wind speeds should fall just
short of Reg Flag criteria. Lighter winds are expected for Friday
and Saturday, and RH values may drop as low as 20 percent in the
afternoon in our southeastern counties.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Gadsden     25  49  25  54 /   0   0   0   0
Anniston    26  49  28  55 /   0   0   0   0
Birmingham  28  49  32  55 /   0   0   0   0
Tuscaloosa  29  52  31  57 /   0   0   0  10
Calera      28  53  30  58 /   0   0   0   0
Auburn      31  51  33  57 /   0   0   0   0
Montgomery  29  52  32  59 /   0   0   0   0
Troy        30  52  32  59 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

DISCUSSION.../61/
AVIATION.../61/