Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Birmingham, AL
Issued by NWS Birmingham, AL
990 FXUS64 KBMX 111108 AFDBMX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Birmingham AL 508 AM CST Thu Dec 11 2025 ...New AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 506 AM CST THU DEC 11 2025 - Seasonable temperatures expected the remainder of the week with little chance for rain until the weekend. - Dangerously cold temperatures expected Sunday night through Monday morning with Wind Chill values dropping to 10-15 degrees by Monday morning. && .DISCUSSION... (Today through next Wednesday) Issued at 1108 PM CST WED DEC 10 2025 Seasonable conditions expected through the remainder of the week as high pressure builds in across the region. This should keep the area rain-free through at least the weekend. The pattern changes over the weekend as a trough digs southward through the Eastern CONUS and pushes a cold front through Alabama Saturday night through Sunday morning. This will likely be more of a light to moderate rain with generally less than a quarter- inch of rainfall expected. The main story is the very cold air behind the front. A continental polar airmass is expected to move into the region Sunday with daytime highs not reaching above freezing for some of our northern locations on Sunday. Monday morning lows are currently forecast to be in the upper teens to low 20s area-wide. Temperatures then moderate slightly Tuesday into Wednesday as the center of the surface high shifts eastward. 25/Owen && .AVIATION... (12Z TAFS) Issued at 506 AM CST THU DEC 11 2025 VFR conditions expected through the next 24 hours. Light northerly winds should persist through the day, becoming more southerly around or after 00z. 25/Owen && .FIRE WEATHER... Dry conditions expected today with MinRHs ranging from 35% - 50%. Rain-free conditions are expected to continue through the end of the week before another frontal passage Saturday night into Sunday. Rain chances increase with this front, but widespread wetting rains may be on the lower side. Much colder air builds in Sunday through early next week. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Gadsden 50 31 61 32 / 0 0 0 0 Anniston 50 34 62 36 / 0 0 0 0 Birmingham 50 37 61 37 / 0 0 0 0 Tuscaloosa 53 35 64 38 / 0 0 0 0 Calera 53 34 64 38 / 0 0 0 10 Auburn 52 36 63 43 / 0 0 0 0 Montgomery 53 34 65 44 / 0 0 0 10 Troy 54 34 65 44 / 0 0 0 10 && .BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ DISCUSSION...25/Owen AVIATION...25/Owen