Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Birmingham, AL
Issued by NWS Birmingham, AL
471 FXUS64 KBMX 031737 AFDBMX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Birmingham AL 1237 PM CDT Thu Jul 3 2025 ...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION... .SHORT TERM... (This evening through Friday night) Issued at 1236 PM CDT THU JUL 3 2025 As we move into the evening skies will clear from the scattered fair weather cumulus in the southeast. Any outdoor fireworks tonight should have no issues as temperatures will be in the mid to upper 70s areawide, with little to no wind. The drier air that is place will allow temperatures to drop into the middle to upper 60s for much of the area as well. For the 4th of July, a typical summertime weather will be in place for all of the celebratory events through the day and night. Temperatures will be in the low to mid 90s by the afternoon. With these temperatures, a stray shower/storm can not be ruled out for the areas from I-20 and points south. However, best chances, still only isolated, will be in the southeast generally south of I-85. Nothing to cancel any plans as any activity would be brief. Most, if not all of the activity should be finished by 8 to 9 pm, so most firework displays should be good to go. 16 && .LONG TERM... (Saturday through next Wednesday) Issued at 1236 PM CDT THU JUL 3 2025 Moisture continues to stream in from the south through the weekend. The increase in moisture should be enough to keep temperatures getting much warmer with afternoon highs generally in the low to mid 90s, average for this time of year. Rain chances increase slowly through the weekend, with the best chances still in the southeast. By Monday we should begin to see more scattered afternoon activity anywhere across the area. This pattern remains through early next week as a front once again tries to work southward toward the Tennessee Valley and southerly flow increasing moisture from the south. A few stronger storms could certainly be plausible Tuesday and Wednesday afternoons. By Tuesday night we will most likely be in a northwest flow aloft regime, so we will need to monitor for late evening/overnight MCS complexes to move in the rest of the period. 16 && .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 1236 PM CDT THU JUL 3 2025 VFR conditions are anticipated for this entire TAF period. NOTE: AMD LTD TO CLD VIS AND WIND has been added at MGM until further notice due to comms issues. 16 && .FIRE WEATHER... Overall a dry forecast for most of the area this holiday weekend. A few isolated showers/storms may develop in the southeast Friday and Saturday with a better chance on Sunday, but still the hit and miss summertime variety. Min RH will remain well above critical thresholds through the weekend, with generally light winds. There are no fire weather concerns at this time. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Gadsden 67 94 70 93 / 0 10 0 10 Anniston 68 92 70 92 / 0 10 0 10 Birmingham 69 94 73 93 / 0 10 0 10 Tuscaloosa 70 94 73 94 / 0 10 0 10 Calera 70 93 72 93 / 0 10 0 10 Auburn 72 91 72 91 / 0 20 0 20 Montgomery 71 94 72 93 / 0 20 10 20 Troy 70 92 71 92 / 0 20 10 20 && .BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ SHORT TERM...16 LONG TERM....16 AVIATION...16