Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Birmingham, AL
Issued by NWS Birmingham, AL
778 FXUS64 KBMX 040541 AFDBMX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Birmingham AL 1241 AM CDT Thu Sep 4 2025 ...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION... .SHORT TERM... (Today through Friday) Issued at 1240 AM CDT THU SEP 4 2025 Patchy fog appears to be developing across parts of western Central Alabama, mainly in areas that received rainfall yesterday afternoon. Any fog should clear quickly after sunrise. Highs will be in the upper 80s to low 90s this afternoon. A passing shortwave will increase chances for showers again today, with 15-30% chances from southwestern and central areas to northeastern counties, where the greatest chance exists. Friday should be dry across most of Central Alabama, and temperatures are likely to rise into the low to mid 90s. A front will approach from the northwest, bringing low rain chances across the northwest by Friday evening. 12 && .LONG TERM... (Friday night through next Wednesday) Issued at 1240 AM CDT THU SEP 4 2025 The front will attempt to work into Central Alabama Friday night into Saturday afternoon. Without a ton of moisture to work with, widespread rainfall appears unlikely with the front at this time. However, rain chances have increased to 30-40% across northern and central counties Saturday afternoon and coverage appears more than this time last night. Saturday will still feature highs in the low to mid 90s across southern and southeastern counties ahead of the front before Central Alabama sees the return of low to mid 80s in most areas Sunday and beyond. Additional rain chances appear possible during next week across southeastern counties, however confidence is currently low. 12 && .AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 1240 AM CDT THU SEP 4 2025 Fog is possible at TCL early this morning, with MVFR vis possible. This should clear by 12-13z. Other sites will remain VFR through the period. There is a slight chance for showers affecting TCL, BHM, EET, and ASN tomorrow afternoon, but confidence is too low to include in the TAF. 12 && .FIRE WEATHER... Min RH values will range from 40-50% this afternoon and 30-45% Friday afternoon across Central Alabama, with chances for isolated to scattered showers across northern and central portions of the area through this afternoon. Moisture values will remain relatively steady for the next few days, and will be above critical thresholds. 20ft winds will be west-southwest up to 5-7 mph today and Friday. There are no fire weather concerns at this time. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Gadsden 88 66 93 69 / 20 0 0 20 Anniston 88 68 92 70 / 20 0 0 10 Birmingham 90 70 94 71 / 20 0 0 20 Tuscaloosa 92 70 95 72 / 20 0 0 10 Calera 90 69 94 71 / 20 0 0 10 Auburn 88 69 92 71 / 10 0 0 0 Montgomery 91 69 95 71 / 20 0 0 0 Troy 90 68 93 70 / 10 0 0 0 && .BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ SHORT TERM...12 LONG TERM....12 AVIATION...12