Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Birmingham, AL
Issued by NWS Birmingham, AL
432 FXUS64 KBMX 051106 AFDBMX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Birmingham AL 606 AM CDT Sat Jul 5 2025 ...New AVIATION... .SHORT TERM... (Today through Sunday) Issued at 129 AM CDT SAT JUL 5 2025 The outflow boundary that aided in moving isolated to scattered convection across central Alabama on Friday is now likely to the west and northwest of our area. Drier air in its wake, and perhaps a zone of subsidence on the western periphery of TD3, should (SHOULD) keep conditions free from rain for the vast majority of folks in central Alabama today. Sunday we`ll restart the process of daily incremental POP increases, as we remain in a fairly typical mid-summer pattern. /61/ && .LONG TERM... (Sunday night through next Friday) Issued at 129 AM CDT SAT JUL 5 2025 Looking ahead to the upcoming work week, the weather story will continue to be a gradual increase in shower and thunderstorm chances each day. At this point, there`s still no obvious time frame that stands out with a predictable chance of severe storms. As for temperatures, heat index values could get up close to 100 degrees in a few spots toward the middle of the week, and we`ll eventually need to watch for the potential of heat related hazard products. /61/ && .AVIATION... (12Z TAFS) Issued at 556 AM CDT SAT JUL 5 2025 VFR conditions are expected to prevail through the forecast period. Isolated SHRA/TSRA development is expected across western Alabama this afternoon, but confidence is much too low to include any impacts to terminals. Light easterly surface winds around 5 knots this afternoon will become variable or calm overnight tonight. Forecast guidance is hinting at some light fog development across portions of Central Alabama overnight through early Sunday morning, but have not mentioned any vis restrictions just yet. NOTE: AMD LTD TO CLD VIS AND WIND has been added at MGM until further notice due to comms issues. 56/GDG && .FIRE WEATHER... Overall a dry forecast for most of the area this holiday weekend, with isolated showers or storms at most through Sunday. Min RH will remain well above critical thresholds, with generally light winds. There are no fire weather concerns at this time. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Gadsden 93 68 95 70 / 0 0 10 0 Anniston 92 68 92 70 / 0 0 10 0 Birmingham 93 71 95 73 / 20 0 10 0 Tuscaloosa 94 72 95 72 / 20 0 10 0 Calera 93 71 94 72 / 20 0 10 0 Auburn 91 71 92 72 / 0 0 20 10 Montgomery 94 72 95 72 / 10 0 20 0 Troy 92 70 94 71 / 0 0 20 10 && .BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ SHORT TERM...02 LONG TERM....02 AVIATION...56/GDG