009
FNUS73 KBIS 042343
FWSBIS

Spot Forecast for Denbigh Piles...USFS
National Weather Service Bismarck ND
543 PM CST Tue Feb 4 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 CST on February 05.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

A cold and active weather pattern will remain in place across the
region, with temperatures below normal and periods of light snow
chances. Best chances for snow in the near future will be later in
the day Wednesday and Wednesday night.

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Chance of snow late in the
                    afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 9 above.
Min humidity........75 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 5 to 11 mph.
Mixing height.......1700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 6 to 14 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (6400 knot-ft).

TIME (CST)      8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........93     89     87     89     91
Weather cov.....                            CHANCE
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   SNOW
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      10     0      10     30
Temp............1      2      5      7      9
RH..............79     79     76     79     76
20 ft wind......SE 10  SE 11  SE 11  E 9    E 7
20 ft wind gust.17     17     17     14     11
Mix hgt (ft)....1000   1100   1400   1600   1500
Transport wind..SE 14  E 13   E 14   SE 12  SE 8
Dispr kt-ft/1K..12     13     16     16     10

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming partly cloudy. Snow
                    likely in the evening. Patchy blowing snow.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 7 below.
Max humidity........87 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming shifting to the west
                    7 to 15 mph early in the evening increasing to
                    17 to 22 mph with gusts to around 31 mph
                    overnight.
Mixing height.......900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 5 mph shifting to the west 7
                    to 15 mph in the evening, then increasing to 18
                    to 25 mph late in the evening.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (4500 knot-ft).

TIME (CST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........94     91     79     64     37     27
Weather cov.....LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY PATCHY PATCHY PATCHY
Weather type....SNOW   SNOW   SNOW   BLSNOW BLSNOW BLSNOW
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).60     60     60     0      0      0
Temp............8      6      5      4      1      -1
RH..............83     87     83     79     79     71
20 ft wind......SE 4   NW 7   W 12   W 17   W 20   W 21
20 ft wind gust.7      12     19     26     30     30
Mix hgt (ft)....1100   900    1100   1500   1200   1000
Transport wind..SW 5   W 9    W 15   W 22   W 24   W 24
Dispr kt-ft/1K..5      7      15     28     26     22

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. Blowing snow in the morning, then
                    areas of blowing snow in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 4 above.
Min humidity........71 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 18 to 24 mph with gusts to around 34
                    mph.
Mixing height.......2200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 21 to 30 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (18200 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to fair (56300 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.

TIME (CST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........27  30  33  36  35  33  32  29  27  24  24  24
Weather cov.....ARS ARS ARS ARS DEF ARS ARS ARS ARS PTY PTY PTY
Weather type....BSN BSN BSN BSN BSN BSN BSN BSN BSN BSN BSN BSN
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............-4  -5  -5  -5  -4  -2  0   1   3   3   3   2
RH..............71  72  73  74  74  72  71  72  74  75  75  75
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..22  22  23  23  23  24  24  24  23  23  21  18
20 FT wind gust.31  31  31  32  33  34  34  34  33  32  30  26
Mix hgt (kft)...0.8 1.1 1.3 1.5 1.7 2.0 2.2 2.1 2.0 2.0 1.5 1.1
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   W   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  W
Transp wind spd.25  26  26  28  29  30  30  30  29  26  24  21
Dispr kt-ft/1K..18  24  30  37  43  50  56  54  50  45  31  19

$$
Forecaster...HEINERT
Requested by...Shane Tosse
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2502136.0/BIS
.DELDT 02/04/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL shane.tosse@usda.gov