Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Bismarck, ND

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FNUS73 KBIS 041908
FWSBIS

Spot Forecast for Local July 4 Community Event - Afternoon Update...Bismarck Emergency Management
National Weather Service Bismarck ND
208 PM CDT Fri Jul 4 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1400 CDT on July 04.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

A round of showers with isolated to scattered thunderstorms could enter
into the event area later this afternoon into the early evening hours.
By mid to late evening, shower and thunderstorm activity becomes more
isolated, except between 10 pm and midnight. This time period will see
isolated to scattered shower activity is possible, with the chance for
thunderstorms around 30 percent. Isolated showers are then possible through
tonight. The threat for severe weather is low through this evening, with
gusty and erratic winds possible with any thunderstorm activity.
Winds through tonight will generally be northerly and around 10 mph.
Temperatures through this evening will be in the low 80s to start, with 70s
through the mid to late evening. Overnight lows will be in the low 60s. Clearing
skies with limited chances for precipitation will be found for Saturday.
North winds around 10 mph will be found.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny. Chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Chance of thunder...40 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 87.
Min humidity........45 percent.
Max apparent temp...90.
Surface winds.......North winds 7 to 10 mph.

TIME (CDT)      2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........70  74  72  59
Weather cov.....SCH CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........SCH SCH CHC CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).20  30  50  40
Chc of thdr (%).20  20  40  40
Temp............87  87  87  85
RH..............52  52  52  53
Aparnt tmp (F)..90  90  90  87
Surface wnd dir.N   N   N   N
Surface wnd spd.7   7   8   9
Surface wnd gst.14  14  16  16

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms
                    before 8 pm. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms
                    from 8 pm to 10 pm. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms
                    from 10 pm to midnight. Slight chance of showers overnight.
Chance of pcpn......45 percent.
Chance of thunder...40 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 62.
Max humidity........79 percent.
Max apparent temp...88.
Surface winds.......North winds 7 to 14 mph.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........59  67  75  83  97  90  86  75  81  65  75  72
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........CHC CHC SHC SHC CHC CHC CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).40  30  30  40  40  40  30  30  20  20  10  10
Chc of thdr (%).40  30  30  40  30  30  30  10  10  10  10  10
Temp............85  82  80  78  75  73  73  70  69  67  65  64
RH..............55  58  62  67  74  79  73  73  68  65  63  65
Aparnt tmp (F)..88  84  82  78  75  73  73  70  69  67  65  64
Surface wnd dir.N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
Surface wnd spd.9   9   9   9   9   11  11  11  11  11  12  12
Surface wnd gst.16  16  15  15  16  16  17  18  18  20  20  20

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny then becoming sunny.
Chance of pcpn......5 percent.
Chance of thunder...5 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 80.
Min humidity........39 percent.
Max apparent temp...79.
Surface winds.......North winds 9 to 11 mph.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........67  45  41  24  33  12  16  10  11  13  13  8
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............63  62  64  65  68  71  73  75  77  78  79  79
RH..............65  67  65  65  59  55  51  46  43  43  41  41
Aparnt tmp (F)..63  62  64  65  68  71  73  75  77  78  79  79
Surface wnd dir.N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
Surface wnd spd.11  11  11  11  11  11  11  9   9   9   9   9
Surface wnd gst.18  18  18  18  17  17  17  17  17  17  17  16

$$
Forecaster...ANGLIN
Requested by...Gary Stockert
Type of request...OTHER
.TAG 2517328.0/BIS
.DELDT 07/04/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL gstockert@bismarcknd.gov