961
FNUS73 KBIS 031246
FWSBIS

Spot Forecast for Bear...USWFS
National Weather Service Bismarck ND
746 AM CDT Thu Sep 3 2026

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0800 MDT on September 03.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

A low pressure system passing to the south of the burn site will bring low
chances for showers and thunderstorms this morning, with dry conditions
expected by afternoon. In addition, it will result in shifting winds, with
east winds this morning shifting towards the northwest as the low pushes east.
Afternoon humidity values will drop to near 27 percent.

Quiet weather is expected at the burn site tonight, but Friday will see
increasing southeasterly winds, becoming 18 to 22 mph with gusts to 32 mph
in the afternoon. Afternoon minimum humidity values will dip to around 28 percent,
but if the winds become a bit more southerly, humidity values could become lower.


.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy in the morning, then decreasing clouds.
                    Chance of showers and thunderstorms in the morning.
CWR.................10 percent.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Chance of thunder...30 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 86.
Min humidity........27 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds around 5 to 8 mph shifting to the
                    northwest in the afternoon. Gusts to 15 mph possible in the
                    afternoon. Gusty and erratic possible near thunderstorms
                    in the morning.
Mixing height.......6800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 8 mph shifting to the west 8 to
                    12 mph late in the morning.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor early in the morning increasing to fair in the
                    afternoon.

TIME (MDT)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM
Sky (%).........82  85  76  67  58  42  27  11  11
Weather cov.....SCH SCH SCH CHC
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........SCH SCH SCH SCH
CWR.............10  10  10  10  0   0   0   0   0
Chc of pcpn (%).30  20  20  20  0   0   0   0   0
Chc of thdr (%).30  20  20  20  0   0   0   0   0
Temp............66  68  71  74  78  81  83  84  86
RH..............78  74  68  62  50  42  36  30  27
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..6   6   6   7   7   7   8   8   8
20 FT wind gust.9   10  11  12  11  12  15  15  15
Mix hgt (kft)...0.8 1.2 1.3 1.6 3.2 4.2 6.0 6.4 6.8
Transp wind dir.SE  S   W   NW  NW  NW  W   W   W
Transp wind spd.7   9   8   8   12  10  10  9   9


.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy.
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 59.
Max humidity........87 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds around 8 mph shifting to the
                    northeast 5 to 7 mph early in the evening, then
                    shifting to the east late in the
                    evening.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 9 mph shifting to the east 6 to 13
                    mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair early in the evening decreasing to poor late in the
                    night.

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny.
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 92.
Min humidity........28 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 8 to 15 mph with gusts to around 24
                    mph increasing to 18 to 22 mph with gusts to around
                    32 mph late in the morning.
Mixing height.......6700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 13 to 21 mph increasing to 23 to 33
                    mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Very good.

$$
Forecaster...SCHILD
Requested by...Deklau
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2621125.0/BIS
.DELDT 09/03/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL deklaulisa@gmail.com