404
FNUS73 KBIS 092256
FWSBIS

Spot Forecast for Chicken Creek...USFS
National Weather Service Bismarck ND
556 PM CDT Wed Sep 9 2026

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1800 CDT on September 09.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TO 9 PM CDT THURSDAY...

.DISCUSSION...

Partly cloudy conditions are expected over the burnsite at the
start of the forecast period. Minimum relative humidity this
afternoon is around 25 percent, but is expected to recover
overnight to a maximum of around 71 percent. Low temperatures
tonight are expected to drop as low as 50 percent. Breezy west
winds this afternoon are expected to rapidly diminish through the
early evening, becoming very light and somewhat variable through
the early overnight period, before organizing out of the south
around 5 MPH around 3 am.

Mostly sunny and very dry conditions are expected at the burnsite on
Thursday. High temperatures Thursday afternoon are forecast around
86 degrees, with minimum relative humidity dropping as low as 17
percent. Light south to southwest winds in the morning are
expected to strengthen through the afternoon, becoming sustained
around 15 to 20 MPH and gusting as high as 25 MPH out of the west
by the mid to late afternoon. A Red Flag Warning is in effect at
the burnsite Thursday afternoon into the early evening (1 PM CDT
through 9 PM CDT).

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Chance of thunder...1 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 50.
Max humidity........71 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds around 7 to 12 mph early in the evening
                    becoming very light out of the southwest into early
tonight, before then turning out of the south
around 6 mph after 3 am.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 12 to 18 mph shifting to the southwest 7
                    to 10 mph in the late evening and overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Very good (105800 knot-ft) decreasing to poor
                    (2700 knot-ft) early in the evening.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........10  6   5   9   10  11  6   6   9   7   6   5
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............77  74  70  65  62  60  58  56  55  54  52  53
RH..............25  28  35  46  54  55  57  62  64  66  71  66
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   W   W   SW  SW  SW  SW  S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..12  11  7   5   4   3   4   4   4   5   6   6
20 FT wind gust.15  12          7   6   7   8   8   9   10  11
Mix hgt (kft)...7.9 7.1 1.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   W   W   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.18  17  12  10  8   7   8   9   10  10  10  10
Dispr kt-ft/1K..126 106 15  4   3   3   3   4   4   4   4   4

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny.
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 86.
Min humidity........17 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds around 5 to 10 mph into the morning
becoming 15 to 20 mph with gusts to around 25 mph in the
early afternoon, turning to the west through the
mid to late afternoon.
Mixing height.......6300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 12 to 20 mph shifting to the west 20
                    to 25 mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (4500 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to very good (114600 knot-ft) through
the afternoon.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........3   6   29  15  12  5   7   7   8   17  5   6
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............52  52  54  59  65  71  76  80  83  84  85  85
RH..............66  63  55  47  40  31  26  22  19  18  17  17
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..6   6   7   10  11  13  15  17  18  19  17  16
20 FT wind gust.11  12  13  17  19  21  24  26  26  26  26  25
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.5 0.5 0.6 1.0 1.5 3.3 4.7 5.5 5.9 6.3 6.2
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.12  12  12  14  16  20  22  24  24  25  24  23
Dispr kt-ft/1K..5   5   5   7   13  26  63  100 115 124 132 124

$$
Forecaster...ADAM
Requested by...Eddie Hutton
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2621545.0/BIS
.DELDT 09/09/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL wbroyles@yahoo.com