398
FXUS61 KBGM 031853
AFDBGM

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
253 PM EDT Sun Aug 3 2025

.SYNOPSIS...
High pressure and dry conditions will continue to be in place
for much of the week. Daytime temperatures are expected to
continue rising through the 80s into midweek. Lows will be in
the 50s and 60s.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/...

Remaining pretty quiet in the near term with high pressure
settled overhead through tomorrow night. With winds relatively
light and skies clear, areas of valley fog are expected to form
early the next couple of mornings. Smoke and haze from the
Canadian wildfires will also continue to be overhead through
tomorrow night across CNY and become more noticeable across NE
PA starting tomorrow. Low temperatures tonight will be mainly
in the 50s. Temperatures will be on the rise tomorrow with the
entire CWA into the low and mid 80s. Some valley locations in
the Twin Tiers and NE PA will reach the upper 80s. Dew points
will rise slightly into the upper 50s to near 60 tomorrow, but
it still won`t feel too humid. Lows tomorrow night will range
from the mid 50s to lower 60s.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
The center of the broad surface high will shift a bit Tuesday
into Wednesday, becoming centered off to our northeast, but all-
in-all, it will still remain pretty quiet. Elevated wildfire
smoke can linger around the area Tuesday. With the high centered
over eastern Quebec/Atlantic Canada, a weak backdoor front does
look to drift south and west, that may trigger a stray
afternoon or evening shower toward the tug hill or eastern
Catskills, but the best chance of anything spotty will be off to
the north and east of our area. Highs again on Tuesday look to
be mostly in the mid and upper 80s with lows Tuesday night in
the upper 50s to mid 60s.

A slight repositioning of the surface high leads to the
development of southeasterly flow off the Atlantic with more
clouds anticipated by Wednesday which should take a few degrees
off the high temperatures, especially for NE PA and the
southern Catskills. Highs Wednesday will be in the upper 70s to
mid 80s in these areas, while farther north and west remains in
the mid and upper 80s. With an increase in moisture with the
southeasterly flow, there can be a stray shower or two come
Wednesday night.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
A more zonal flow looks to be in place Thursday into Friday. A
pop-up shower or thunderstorm can`t be ruled out Thursday during
the afternoon and evening, but these look to be high elevation
heat source based with no real good trigger around.

The GFS and ICON models are hinting at potential Western
Atlantic tropical activity during the Friday-Sunday period and
WPC has a synoptic low off the Carolinas on Day 7, otherwise we
remain under a general influence of high pressure. Just
something to keep in the back of the mind for now.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
VFR conditions are expected to continue this afternoon through
the TAF period for all terminals but ELM. Valley fog is to start
to form at ELM around 08Z with the lowest restrictions settling
in around 10Z before lifting shortly after 12Z tomorrow
morning. Wildfire smoke is expected to keep conditions hazy
tonight and tomorrow at the CNY terminals but no restrictions
are expected. The smoke is expected to spread farther south
toward AVP tomorrow.

Outlook...

Monday afternoon through Friday...Mainly VFR. Early morning fog
possible most mornings at ELM. Wildfire smoke is expected to
keep hazy conditions around into Tuesday.

&&

.BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...None.
NY...Air Quality Alert until midnight EDT tonight for NYZ009-
     015>018-022>025-036-037-044>046-055>057.

&&

$$

SYNOPSIS...DK/JAB
NEAR TERM...DK
SHORT TERM...DK/JAB
LONG TERM...DK/JAB
AVIATION...DK