804
FXUS61 KBGM 021742
AFDBGM

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
142 PM EDT Sat Aug 2 2025

.SYNOPSIS...
High pressure will remain overhead through the weekend and
much of the upcoming week. Expect fair weather through at least
Tuesday with seasonably warm days and cool nights this weekend
and a gradual warming trend next week. Isolated shower activity
may return by late next week.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...
The weather doesn`t get much more pleasant than this for early
August standards as surface high pressure remains in control
with cool, dry air in place. Ample sunshine is present this
afternoon besides a few scattered cumulus clouds. Dewpoints this
afternoon are in the upper 40s to lower 50s with temperatures
in the 70s. A persistence forecast for tonight, as it will be
another cool night with lows in the upper 40s to lower 50s and
patchy valley fog. With radiational cooling conditions present,
it is possible that a few readings in the lower to mid 40s may
occur in the usual cooler spots, like what occurred last night.

Temperatures will be slightly warmer on Sunday with highs in the
upper 70s to mid 80s as the flow becomes a bit more zonal, but
dewpoints will remain low, resulting in low humidity and another
day of abundant sunshine. Then another mostly clear night is
expected Sunday night, although it likely won`t be as cool with
a slightly warmer airmass in place (lows in the lower 50s to
near 60 degrees).

&&

.SHORT TERM /MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...
The quasi-blocked pattern persists well into the middle of next
week in addition to a retrogression of the Western Atlantic
ridge toward the Southeast and Mid-Atlantic. This will continue
to suppress precipitation activity at least through Tuesday.
Stagnation of the high pressure will allow some warming of the
column with 850mb temps reaching around 15C by Tuesday. Daytime
temps will easily reach well into the 80s but dewpoints are
expected to remain comfortable.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
The northern stream begins to open up during this period
allowing for some erosion of the western periphery of the ridge
over the Northern Plains and Great Lakes which will help to
nudge the lower level features slightly to our east. With SW
flow returning to the area, low level moisture will begin to
increase through Friday and Saturday. We still remain under
anomalously high heights and a strong capping inversion with
weak dynamical forcing at best. Chances are that the dry weather
will continue to persist all the way into next weekend, but
cannot rule out some isolated terrain-induced showers during
peak heating times late next week.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
VFR conditions expected at all sites today as high pressure
remains in control. Fog development is possible again tonight
at KELM. Although the confidence is a little less it will be
another day of drying out the boundary layer leading to
uncertainty in surface based moisture.

Winds increase to around 6 knots during the day from a general
northerly direction with local terrain adjustments and then
become light and variable to near calm after 00Z.

Outlook...

Sunday through Thursday...VFR most locations. Early morning fog
possible most mornings at ELM. Thin wildfire smoke aloft on
Sunday is not expected to affect surface based terminal
operations.

&&

.BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...None.
NY...None.

&&

$$

SYNOPSIS...BJG/JAB
NEAR TERM...BJG
SHORT TERM...BJG
LONG TERM...BJG
AVIATION...ES/JAB