401
FXUS61 KBGM 041138
AFDBGM

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
638 AM EST Tue Nov 4 2025

.SYNOPSIS...
A brief return to dry weather is expected for today. Another
system will bring rain to the area Wednesday afternoon through
Wednesday night, before drier and cooler weather returns on
Thursday.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
Current northwest gusty winds will continue on this morning,
which will result in some lingering lake effect rain showers
mainly along the NY Thruway corridor. Otherwise, the rest of
the area is expected to be dry under partly to mostly sunny
skies. With the tight pressure gradient continuing, it will
remain breezy with occasional gusts of 25-35 mph possible at
times. Highs are expected to be in the mid 50s. Surface high
pressure builds briefly heading into the evening, where gusty
winds are expected to decrease with dry conditions.

High pressure conditions are short-lived with the next shortwave
moving into the area Wednesday. As it progresses west-to-east
across the area, the upper-level trough deepens and tightens the
pressure gradient. This will result in gusty westerly winds
Wednesday afternoon and through the overnight hours, with rain
showers as well. Snow may mix in with the rain showers overnight
Wednesday, mainly for higher elevation areas of Central NY, as
temperatures dip into the low to mid 30s Wednesday night.

&&

.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
Brief high pressure with dry conditions expected for Thursday,
with highs in the mid 40s to lower 50s.

The next system comes through Friday, and with temperatures
around to slightly above average, this system will likely be
only rain.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
The long term pattern continues to look rather active with a
parade of systems embedded with a deep longwave trough. These
will move through the area over the weekend and into early next
week. The timing of these systems under this synoptic pattern
can be tricky, and will be monitored through this upcoming week.

This pattern will also usher in a much colder airmass by the
beginning of next week, which means that it isn`t entirely out
of the realm of possibilities to see some snow, at least during
the overnight periods.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
VFR conditions expected as high pressure builds in today and
winds slowly decreasing into the early evening. Overnight, as
another trough of low pressure begins to move in from the west,
winds will become more southerly. The increasing winds later
tonight out of the south should be strong enough to prevent any
fog from developing at any of the terminals.

Outlook...

Wednesday...Mainly VFR.

Wednesday night...Rain showers becoming likely and associated
restrictions, especially at the Central NY terminals.

Thursday...Some lingering restrictions possible at the Central
NY terminals; otherwise becoming mainly VFR.

Friday...Mainly VFR. Some rain showers and associated
restrictions are possible late in the day and at night.

Saturday...Showers tapering off with improving conditions.

&&

.BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...None.
NY...None.

&&

$$

SYNOPSIS...KL
NEAR TERM...KL/MWG
SHORT TERM...KL
LONG TERM...KL
AVIATION...AJG