200
FGUS63 KKRF 211721
ESPBBL

HYDROLOGIC ENSEMBLE FORECAST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
MISSOURI BASIN RIVER FORECAST CENTER PLEASANT HILL MO
1720Z Fri Feb 21 2025

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**** THESE ARE 10 DAY FORECASTS PRODUCED WITH HEFS  ****

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Hydrologic Ensemble Forecast Service (HEFS) probabilities
are displayed in the table below. The table lists the flood
categories and probability of exceeding each category in the
next 10 days.

-- BIG BLUE FORECAST GROUP --
                ISSUANCE       MINOR        MODERATE       MAJOR
               STG   PROB    STG   PROB    STG   PROB    STG   PROB
:BIG BLUE R AT SURPRISE NE NO.2
SRPN1 (OAX)    6.0   <5%     7.0   <5%     10.0  <5%     12.0  <5%
:LINCOLN CR AT SEWARD NE 3WNW
SWDN1 (OAX)    13.0  <5%     15.0  <5%     17.0  <5%     20.0  <5%
:BIG BLUE R AT SEWARD NE
SWRN1 (OAX)    16.0  <5%     18.0  <5%     22.0  <5%     27.0  <5%
:W FK BIG BLUE R AT DORCHESTER NE 6NW
DRGN1 (OAX)    13.0  <5%     15.0  <5%     22.0  <5%     24.4  <5%
:BIG BLUE R AT CRETE NE 2S
CRTN1 (OAX)    19.0  <5%     21.0  <5%     25.0  <5%     31.0  <5%
:TURKEY CR AT WILBER NE 3W
WLBN1 (OAX)    11.0  <5%     12.5  <5%     16.0  <5%     21.0  <5%
:TURKEY CR AT DEWITT NE 2SE
DEWN1 (OAX)    21.5  <5%     23.5  <5%     25.0  <5%     27.0  <5%
:BIG BLUE R AT BEATRICE NE
BEAN1 (OAX)    16.0  <5%     18.0  <5%     26.0  <5%     32.0  <5%
:BIG BLUE RIVER AT BARNESTON NE
BARN1 (OAX)    18.0  <5%     20.0  <5%     27.0  <5%     33.0  <5%
:BIG BLUE R AT MARYSVILLE KS
MRYK1 (TOP)    33.0  <5%     35.0  <5%     38.2  <5%     43.0  <5%
:LITTLE BLUE R AT DEWEESE NE 4SE
DWEN1 (GID)    8.0   <5%     10.0  <5%     16.0  <5%     17.0  <5%
:LITTLE BLUE R AT FAIRBURY NE
FRBN1 (OAX)    17.0  <5%     18.5  <5%     20.0  <5%     23.0  <5%
:LITTLE BLUE R AT HOLLENBERG KS
HBGK1 (TOP)    17.0  <5%     19.0  <5%     19.4  <5%     45.0  <5%
:MILL CR AT WASHINGTON KS 1ESE
WSHK1 (TOP)    16.0  8%      18.0  5%      19.0  <5%     35.0  <5%
:LITTLE BLUE R AT BARNES KS 4NE
BANK1 (TOP)    14.0  <5%     16.0  <5%     23.0  <5%     39.0  <5%
:BLACK VERMILLION R AT FRANKFORT KS
FKFK1 (TOP)    17.0  9%      19.0  8%      27.5  <5%     40.5  <5%
:BIG BLUE R AT BLO TUTTLE CREEK RES
MNTK1 (TOP)    17.0  <5%     19.0  <5%     27.0  <5%     30.0  <5%

:END OF MESSAGE

$$