Marine/Aviation Tropical Cyclone Advisory
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383
WTNT25 KNHC 181540
TCMAT5

HURRICANE ERIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  29
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052025
1500 UTC MON AUG 18 2025

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.1N  70.8W AT 18/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT   9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  935 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 120 KT WITH GUSTS TO 145 KT.
64 KT....... 70NE  60SE  40SW  40NW.
50 KT.......110NE 110SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT.......200NE 200SE 120SW 170NW.
4 M SEAS....360NE 300SE 180SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.1N  70.8W AT 18/1500Z
AT 18/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.9N  70.5W

FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 24.2N  71.6W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
64 KT... 70NE  60SE  40SW  40NW.
50 KT...110NE 110SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 130SW 180NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 25.7N  72.5W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 70NE  60SE  40SW  40NW.
50 KT...110NE 110SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 140SW 180NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 27.4N  73.2W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 70NE  60SE  40SW  50NW.
50 KT...110NE 120SE  70SW 100NW.
34 KT...200NE 210SE 160SW 180NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 29.5N  73.5W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 80NE  80SE  50SW  60NW.
50 KT...130NE 130SE 100SW 110NW.
34 KT...210NE 220SE 180SW 180NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 31.7N  73.1W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 90NE  90SE  60SW  70NW.
50 KT...140NE 140SE 110SW 120NW.
34 KT...210NE 240SE 190SW 190NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 33.9N  71.6W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 90NE  90SE  80SW  80NW.
50 KT...150NE 140SE 110SW 120NW.
34 KT...230NE 260SE 210SW 220NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 22/1200Z 37.7N  65.0W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT...150NE 150SE 130SW 120NW.
34 KT...270NE 280SE 240SW 240NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 23/1200Z 42.4N  53.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT...150NE 150SE 150SW 130NW.
34 KT...320NE 320SE 300SW 250NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.1N  70.8W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 18/1800Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH