668
WTNT25 KNHC 101441
TCMAT5

TROPICAL STORM JERRY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  13
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL102025
1500 UTC FRI OCT 10 2025

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.2N  63.4W AT 10/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  45 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT  14 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT.......140NE 160SE   0SW   0NW.
4 M SEAS....275NE 210SE  60SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.2N  63.4W AT 10/1500Z
AT 10/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.7N  63.3W

FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 22.1N  63.8W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...130NE 150SE   0SW  20NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 24.4N  63.7W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...110NE 140SE  30SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 26.9N  63.2W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...100NE 120SE  30SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 29.2N  62.7W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...100NE 110SE  40SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 30.8N  61.7W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  40SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 31.4N  59.7W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW   0NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  50SW  50NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 14/1200Z 30.4N  54.6W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW   0NW.
34 KT... 80NE  90SE  50SW  50NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 15/1200Z 30.8N  47.9W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE 120SE 100SW  70NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.2N  63.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG