514
WTNT25 KNHC 090246
TCMAT5

TROPICAL STORM JERRY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL102025
0300 UTC THU OCT 09 2025

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.2N  56.1W AT 09/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT  16 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  999 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 80NE  50SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT.......140NE 160SE   0SW  70NW.
4 M SEAS....270NE 210SE  60SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.2N  56.1W AT 09/0300Z
AT 09/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.9N  55.4W

FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 16.4N  58.3W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE   0SW  15NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE  20SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 18.0N  60.6W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 75NE  55SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...120NE 130SE  30SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 20.1N  62.2W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 10NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 70NE  55SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT...120NE 140SE  30SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 22.5N  62.8W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE   0SW  10NW.
50 KT... 70NE  55SE  20SW  25NW.
34 KT...120NE 130SE  40SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 25.0N  62.8W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE   0SW  10NW.
50 KT... 70NE  65SE  20SW  25NW.
34 KT...120NE 140SE  50SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 27.4N  62.3W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 60NE  65SE  20SW  25NW.
34 KT...120NE 140SE  50SW  70NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 13/0000Z 31.2N  60.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  50SE  20SW  25NW.
34 KT...100NE 120SE  70SW  70NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 14/0000Z 32.3N  56.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 55NE  60SE  50SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE 110SE 100SW  80NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.2N  56.1W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 09/0600Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER PAPIN