239
WTNT25 KNHC 171502
TCMAT5

HURRICANE ERIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  25
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052025
1500 UTC SUN AUG 17 2025

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.0N  67.4W AT 17/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  946 MB
EYE DIAMETER  40 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT WITH GUSTS TO 135 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 70NE  60SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT.......180NE 110SE  70SW 150NW.
4 M SEAS....270NE 180SE 150SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.0N  67.4W AT 17/1500Z
AT 17/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.7N  67.0W

FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 21.9N  68.8W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...180NE 130SE  90SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 23.1N  70.2W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 80NE  80SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...180NE 140SE 120SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 24.4N  71.3W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 90NE  90SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT...180NE 160SE 140SW 170NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 25.9N  72.2W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 70NE  60SE  40SW  50NW.
50 KT...100NE 100SE  70SW  80NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 150SW 170NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 27.8N  72.6W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 70NE  70SE  40SW  60NW.
50 KT...110NE 110SE  80SW  90NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 160SW 170NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 30.0N  72.7W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 80NE  80SE  60SW  60NW.
50 KT...120NE 120SE  90SW 100NW.
34 KT...210NE 210SE 170SW 170NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 21/1200Z 34.3N  70.4W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT...140NE 140SE 110SW 120NW.
34 KT...240NE 270SE 200SW 200NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 22/1200Z 39.0N  62.0W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT...150NE 180SE 170SW 120NW.
34 KT...270NE 300SE 250SW 240NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.0N  67.4W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 17/1800Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH