Marine/Aviation Tropical Cyclone Advisory
Issued by NWS

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985
WTNT25 KNHC 210246
TCMAT5

HURRICANE ERIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  39
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052025
0300 UTC THU AUG 21 2025

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.8N  73.1W AT 21/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR  10 DEGREES AT  14 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  942 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  95 KT WITH GUSTS TO 115 KT.
64 KT....... 80NE  90SE  70SW  50NW.
50 KT.......140NE 140SE 110SW 100NW.
34 KT.......220NE 230SE 180SW 180NW.
4 M SEAS....480NE 390SE 360SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.8N  73.1W AT 21/0300Z
AT 21/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 32.3N  73.2W

FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 34.8N  71.7W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 80NE  90SE  70SW  50NW.
50 KT...140NE 140SE 110SW 110NW.
34 KT...230NE 230SE 190SW 190NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 36.8N  69.0W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 80NE  90SE  70SW  60NW.
50 KT...140NE 150SE 120SW 120NW.
34 KT...240NE 250SE 220SW 230NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 38.7N  65.2W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 80NE  90SE  90SW  90NW.
50 KT...160NE 150SE 140SW 130NW.
34 KT...280NE 250SE 240SW 240NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 40.4N  60.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 70NE  80SE  80SW  60NW.
50 KT...150NE 160SE 150SW 130NW.
34 KT...290NE 250SE 240SW 240NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 42.2N  54.3W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  70SE  50SW  50NW.
50 KT...160NE 180SE 140SW 120NW.
34 KT...290NE 300SE 260SW 250NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 44.5N  46.8W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 70NE 120SE 100SW  70NW.
34 KT...250NE 280SE 250SW 220NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 25/0000Z 50.0N  31.1W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...220NE 240SE 220SW 180NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 26/0000Z 54.3N  21.8W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...200NE 270SE 220SW 180NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 32.8N  73.1W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 21/0600Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN