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HURRICANE ERIN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  35
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052025
0300 UTC WED AUG 20 2025

AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ERIN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.7
NORTH...LONGITUDE 73.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 85 KTS
...100 MPH...155 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        00Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM
  TIME       00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO
             12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT

HIBERNIA OILFD 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   9(11)
HIBERNIA OILFD 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)

CAPE RACE NFLD 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)   4(11)

ILE ST PIERRE  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   1( 7)

BURGEO NFLD    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)

EDDY POINT NS  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   X( 5)

SYDNEY NS      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   1( 5)

SABLE ISLAND   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)  14(19)   X(19)
SABLE ISLAND   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   X( 5)
SABLE ISLAND   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)

YARMOUTH NS    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)

HYANNIS MA     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

NANTUCKET MA   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   7( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)

PROVIDENCE RI  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

MONTAUK POINT  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

CAPE HENLOPEN  34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

OCEAN CITY MD  34  X   X( X)   3( 3)   3( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)

WALLOPS CDA    34  X   X( X)   3( 3)   3( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)

NORFOLK NAS    34  X   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

NORFOLK VA     34  X   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

OCEANA NAS VA  34  X   1( 1)   6( 7)   2( 9)   1(10)   X(10)   X(10)

ELIZABETH CTY  34  X   1( 1)   4( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

ROCKY MT NC    34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

CAPE HATTERAS  34  X   7( 7)  14(21)   3(24)   X(24)   X(24)   X(24)

CHERRY PT NC   34  X   3( 3)   4( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)

NEW RIVER NC   34  X   3( 3)   3( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

MOREHEAD CITY  34  X   6( 6)   7(13)   1(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)

SURF CITY NC   34  X   5( 5)   4( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)

WILMINGTON NC  34  X   3( 3)   2( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

BALD HEAD ISL  34  X   5( 5)   3( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)

LITTLE RIVER   34  X   3( 3)   2( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

MYRTLE BEACH   34  X   2( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

BERMUDA        34  X   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   4( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN