493
WTNT24 KNHC 012044
TCMAT4

HURRICANE IMELDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  21
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL092025
2100 UTC WED OCT 01 2025

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.6N  67.9W AT 01/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR  70 DEGREES AT  19 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  966 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  30SE  50SW  40NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  60SE  70SW  60NW.
34 KT.......160NE 220SE 100SW 170NW.
4 M SEAS....240NE 270SE 270SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.6N  67.9W AT 01/2100Z
AT 01/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.3N  69.2W

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 32.3N  64.1W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  50SW  50NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  90SW  70NW.
34 KT...190NE 200SE 120SW 210NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 33.2N  58.7W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  40SW  50NW.
50 KT... 90NE  70SE  90SW  70NW.
34 KT...240NE 200SE 180SW 230NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 34.8N  53.8W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT...110NE  80SE  90SW  80NW.
34 KT...290NE 210SE 180SW 250NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 37.2N  51.1W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT...  0NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT...120NE  70SE  80SW 100NW.
34 KT...320NE 240SE 200SW 270NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 39.5N  49.7W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT...100NE  90SE  80SW  90NW.
34 KT...280NE 230SE 210SW 240NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 42.4N  46.9W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...240NE 210SE 200SW 220NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z 47.5N  38.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...200NE 180SE 180SW 170NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z 49.5N  32.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...100NE 150SE 120SW 150NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.6N  67.9W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPAT4...AT 02/0000Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER REINHART