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PWSAT4

TROPICAL STORM IMELDA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL092025
0300 UTC TUE SEP 30 2025

AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM IMELDA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 28.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 77.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 55 KTS...65 MPH...100 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        00Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM
  TIME       00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO
             12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT

HIBERNIA OILFD 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)

BALD HEAD ISL  34  1   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

COCOA BEACH FL 34  3   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

PATRICK AFB    34  3   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

FT PIERCE FL   34  3   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

W PALM BEACH   34  2   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

BERMUDA        34  X   X( X)   2( 2)  74(76)  14(90)   X(90)   X(90)
BERMUDA        50  X   X( X)   X( X)  35(35)  27(62)   X(62)   X(62)
BERMUDA        64  X   X( X)   X( X)  11(11)  19(30)   X(30)   X(30)

GRAND BAHAMA   34  4   3( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)

NEW PROVIDENCE 34  3   2( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN