838
FZNT01 KWBC 050408
HSFAT1

HIGH SEAS FORECAST FOR METAREA IV
NWS OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER WASHINGTON DC
0430 UTC SAT OCT 05 2024

CCODE/2:31:04:11:00/AOE+AOW/NWS/CCODE
SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

ONLY YOU KNOW THE WEATHER AT YOUR POSITION. REPORT IT TO THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. EMAIL US AT
VOSOPS@NOAA.GOV(LOWERCASE).

FOR INFORMATION ON ATLANTIC ICEBERGS SEE INFORMATION FROM NORTH
ATLANTIC ICE SERVICE AT HTTPS://OCEAN.WEATHER.GOV/ATL_TAB.PHP
(ALL LOWERCASE).

FOR ANY TROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION BEYOND 48 HOURS REFERENCE
THE ASSOCIATED NWS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY (TCM).

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IS ACCEPTING PUBLIC COMMENTS UNTIL
OCTOBER 16 2024 ON A PROPOSAL TO REPLACE FEET WITH METERS WHEN
DESCRIBING SEAS IN A VARIETY OF NATIONAL MARINE CENTER TEXT AND
GRAPHICAL PRODUCTS FOR THE HIGH SEAS AREAS ONLY.
TO LEARN MORE PLEASE VISIT (WEB ADDRESS LOWERCASE)
HTTPS://OCEAN.WEATHER.GOV/PROPOSED-METERS.PHP

FROM OCTOBER 15 TO APRIL 1, DUE TO THE CLIMATOLOGY OF THE NORTH
ATLANTIC AND THE FREQUENCY AND VOLUME OF WEATHER HAZARDS, ALONG
WITH CUSTOMER FEEDBACK, HIGH SEAS FORECASTS WILL BE LIMITED TO
WINDS OF 25 TO 35 KNOTS AND HIGHER, AND SEAS OF 12 FEET OR
GREATER, ALONG WITH FREEZING SPRAY, DENSE FOG, VOLCANIC ASH,
AND ANYTHING TROPICAL (INCLUDING A DEPRESSION). LESSER
CONDITIONS WILL BE INCLUDED FOR WARNING CONDITIONS AND TO
PRESERVE CONTINUITY WHERE APPROPRIATE.

SECURITE

NORTH ATLANTIC NORTH OF 31N TO 67N AND WEST OF 35W

ALL FORECASTS VALID OVER ICE FREE FORECAST WATERS

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC OCT 05.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC OCT 06.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC OCT 07.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE KIRK NEAR 25.0N 49.8W 943 MB AT 0300 UTC OCT 05
MOVING NNW OR 330 DEG AT 11 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT
GUSTS 140 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 190 NM NE
QUADRANT...180 NM SE QUADRANT...120 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 140 NM
NW QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 360 NM W
SEMICIRCLE...390 NM NE QUADRANT AND 330 NM SE QUADRANT WITH SEAS
TO 44 FT. ELSEWHERE S OF 36N BETWEEN 42W AND 57W WINDS LESS THAN
25 KT. SEAS TO 11 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE KIRK NEAR 30.2N 49.8W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT GUSTS 130 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 210 NM E SEMICIRCLE...140 NM SW QUADRANT AND 160 NM NW
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 400 NM NW QUADRANT...300
NM NE QUADRANT...360 NM SE QUADRANT...AND 510 NM SW QUADRANT WITH
SEAS TO 47 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 420 NM NW AND 480 NM NE QUADRANTS
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 22 FT...HIGHEST WITHIN 300 NM W
SEMICIRCLE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE KIRK NEAR 37.7N 44.6W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 240 NM NE QUADRANT...260 NM SE QUADRANT...180 NM SW
QUADRANT...AND 200 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER
WITHIN 420 NM NW QUADRANT...300 NM NE QUADRANT...400 NM SE
QUADRANT...AND 450 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 50 FT. ELSEWHERE S
OF 46N BETWEEN 36W AND 53W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 22
FT...HIGHEST WITHIN 300 NM OF CENTER.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

...STORM WARNING...
.24 HOUR FORECAST NEW LOW 38N60W 1008 MB. FROM 35N TO 42N BETWEEN
43W AND 62W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 12 FT.
.30 HOUR FORECAST LOW 39N57W 1004 MB. WITHIN 480 NM E QUADRANT
WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 41N54W 994 MB. WITHIN 300 NM N AND 120 NM W
QUADRANTS WINDS 35 TO 50 KT. SEAS 12 TO 26 FT. ELSEWHERE...EXCEPT
WHERE DESCRIBED ABOVE WITH HURRICANE KIRK...FROM 37N TO 47N
BETWEEN 48W AND 65W WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 TO 18 FT.

...GALE WARNING...
.COMPLEX LOW E OF AREA WITH MAIN CENTER 51N26W 986 MB MOVING NE
10 KT. WITHIN 540 NM W QUADRANT WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 TO 16
FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 39N TO 64N E OF 44W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8
TO 15 FT. ALSO...EXCEPT WHERE OTHERWISE DESCRIBED...FROM 34N TO
58N E OF 52W WINDS LESS THAN 25 KT. SEAS TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST COMBINED LOW WELL E OF AREA NEAR 52N20W 969 MB.
WITHIN 960 NM W SEMICIRCLE WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 TO 18 FT.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 1140 NM SW QUADRANT WINDS LESS THAN 25 KT. SEAS
TO 10 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW WELL E OF AREA NEAR 52N17W 972 MB. WITHIN
840 NM W SEMICIRCLE WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS 12 T0 18 FT. ELSEWHERE E
OF A LINE FROM 38N35W TO 54N57W TO 66N37W WINDS LESS THAN 25 KT.
SEAS 8 TO 16 FT.

...GALE WARNING...
.LOW 32N61W 1008 MB NEARLY STATIONARY. WITHIN 420 NM W QUADRANT
AND FROM 34N TO 40N BETWEEN 48W AND 65W WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 8
TO 15 FT. ELSEWHERE S OF 40N BETWEEN 53W AND 68W WINDS LESS THAN
25 KT. SEAS TO 10 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 32N61W 1006 MB. S OF 41N BETWEEN 58W AND
70W WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 12 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 32N58W 1006 MB. WITHIN 780 NM W AND 420 NM
N QUADRANTS WINDS LESS THAN 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 14 FT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.N OF 56N W OF 52W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 11 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST N OF 65N W OF GREENLAND WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO
8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS MOVED N OF AREA.

.FORECASTER JOSEPH. OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER.


ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND
GULF OF MEXICO

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC SAT OCT 5.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC SUN OCT 6.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC MON OCT 7.

.WARNINGS.

...ATLC HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE KIRK NEAR 25.0N 49.8W 943 MB AT 0300 UTC OCT 05
MOVING NNW OR 330 DEG AT 11 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT
GUSTS 140 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 190 NM NE
QUADRANT...180 NM SE QUADRANT...120 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 140 NM
NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 360 NM W SEMICIRCLE
...390 NM NE QUADRANT AND 330 NM SE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 44 FT.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 29N44W TO 30N50W TO 27N54W TO 21N52W TO 19N47W
TO 24N43W TO 29N44W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER
OF AREA WITHIN 31N42W TO 31N70W TO 24N61W TO 20N64W TO 18N47W TO
23N41W TO 31N42W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED
SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE KIRK NEAR 30.2N 49.8W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT GUSTS 130 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 210 NM E SEMICIRCLE...140 NM SW QUADRANT AND 160 NM NW
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 300 NM NE QUADRANT... 360
NM SE QUADRANT...510 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 400 NM NW QUADRANT WITH
SEAS TO 47 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 31N43W TO 31N54W TO 26N52W TO
24N46W TO 27N43W TO 31N43W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 30N41W TO 28N53W TO 31N54W TO 30N73W TO
19N66W TO 19N51W TO 30N41W...INCLUDING IN ATLANTIC EXPOSURES...
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE KIRK WELL N OF AREA NEAR 37.7N
44.6W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT. TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS N OF AREA. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER OVER FORECAST
WATERS WITHIN 400 NM SE QUADRANT...AND 450 NM SW QUADRANT WITH
SEAS TO 15 FT NEAR 31N47W. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 31N40W TO 31N47W TO
30N44W TO 30N42W TO 30N41W TO 31N40W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO
12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 31N39W TO 30N74W TO 22N69W TO
26N61W TO 24N49W TO 31N39W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT
IN MIXED SWELL.

...ATLC HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE LESLIE E OF AREA NEAR 10.4N 34.2W 989 MB AT 0300 UTC
OCT 05 MOVING WNW OR 290 DEG AT 6 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 65
KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS JUST E OF AREA. SEAS
12 FT OR GREATER OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 90 NM N SEMICIRCLE
AND 60 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 16 FT NEAR 14N34W.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 13N35W TO 12N36W TO 11N36W TO 10N36W TO 09N35W
TO 13N35W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA
WITHIN 10N36W TO 13N35W TO 11N38W TO 08N37W TO 07N35W TO 09N35W
TO 10N36W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.12 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LESLIE NEAR 10.8N 35.2W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 FT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 60 NM N SEMICIRCLE...40 NM SE QUADRANT...AND 50 NM SW
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 75 NM E SEMICIRCLE...AND
120 NM W SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 20 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 14N35W
TO 14N37W TO 11N38W TO 10N37W TO 09N35W TO 14N35W WINDS 20 TO 33
KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 11N37W TO 15N35W
TO 14N38W TO 11N40W TO 08N39W TO 07N35W TO 11N37W WINDS 20 KT OR
LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LESLIE NEAR 11.6N 36.4W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 70 NM N SEMICIRCLE...40 NM SE QUADRANT AND 50 NM SW
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER...EXCEPT
150 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 21 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 14N35W TO
14N38W TO 13N39W TO 11N39W TO 10N37W TO 10N35W TO 14N35W WINDS
20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 11N38W TO
15N35W TO 15N38W TO 12N41W TO 08N39W TO 09N35W TO 11N38W WINDS 20
KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LESLIE NEAR 14.1N 38.9W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 70 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...80 NM NE QUADRANT AND 50 NM SW
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM E SEMICIRCLE... 150
NM SW QUADRANT...AND 120 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 23 FT.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 15N37W TO 17N39W TO 16N41W TO 14N42W TO 12N40W
TO 13N37W TO 15N37W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER
OF AREA WITHIN 13N36W TO 16N37W TO 17N40W TO 13N44W TO 10N41W TO
11N38W TO 13N36W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED
SWELL.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.GULF OF MEXICO BROAD LOW PRES NEAR 22N95.5W 1009 MB. WITHIN
20N95W TO 21N97W TO 20N96W TO 19N95W TO 20N94W TO 20N95W...
INCLUDING WITHIN 60 NM OF COAST OF VERACRUZ...NW WINDS 20 TO 30
KT WITH OCCASIONALLY HIGHER GUSTS. SEAS TO 8 FT. NUMEROUS TSTMS
WITHIN 180 NM SW SEMICIRCLE. LOCALLY HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS IN
AND NEAR TSTMS.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST DEVELOPING STATIONARY FRONT FROM 28N83W TO
29N86.5W TO 25N94W TO LOW PRES NEAR 28N93W 1006 MB. WITHIN
29N83W TO 31N88W TO 27N95W TO 24N97W TO 21N97W TO 19N95W TO
29N83W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.


.FORECASTER LEWITSKY. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.

$$