576
ABNT20 KNHC 172309
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Sun Aug 17 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Erin, located less than 200 miles east-northeast of the Turks and
Caicos Islands.

Northwestern Atlantic:
Shower activity remains limited in association with an elongated
area of low pressure located a couple hundred miles off the coast of
North Carolina.  Upper-level winds are unfavorable, and development
is no longer expected.  The low should continue to weaken over the
next 24 hours while drifting east-northeastward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...near 0 percent.

Central Tropical Atlantic:
A tropical wave located near the Cabo Verde Islands is producing
disorganized showers and thunderstorms.  Some gradual development of
this system is possible during the latter half of this week, and a
tropical depression could form late this week or next weekend while
the system moves westward to west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph,
approaching the northeastern Caribbean Sea or southwestern Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

$$
Forecaster Hagen