448
ABNT20 KNHC 040504
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Fri Jul 4 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Near the Southeastern United States (AL92):
Satellite wind data indicate that a weak area of low pressure has
formed about 100 miles east of Jacksonville, Florida, and is
accompanied by disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental
conditions are forecast to be marginally conducive for further
development, and a tropical or subtropical depression could form
near the southeastern United States late today or over the weekend
if the low remains offshore.  Regardless of development, heavy
rainfall is possible across portions of west-central and
southwestern Florida through early Saturday, and across coastal
sections of the Carolinas beginning later on Saturday.  An Air Force
Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate the
system later today.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.

$$
Forecaster Blake