525
ABNT20 KNHC 162313
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Sat Aug 16 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Erin, located about 100 miles north of the Virgin Islands.

Northwestern Atlantic:
The area of low pressure located a couple hundred miles off the
coast of North Carolina has not become any better organized over the
past 24 hours, with limited disorganized shower and thunderstorm
activity displaced well to the east of the center. Some slight
development of this system is still possible over the next day or so
while it moves little over the warm waters of the Gulf Stream. By
Monday, environmental conditions are expected to become unfavorable
for further development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.

Central Tropical Atlantic:
An area of low pressure could form over the central tropical
Atlantic during the middle to latter portion of next week from a
westward moving tropical wave.  Some subsequent development could
occur as the system moves westward to west-northwestward at around
15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Hagen