811
ABNT20 KNHC 190534
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Tue Aug 19 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Erin, located a couple hundred miles to the northeast of the
Southeast Bahamas.

Near the Leeward Islands in the Tropical Atlantic:
A tropical wave located over the central tropical Atlantic continues
to produce a broad area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms.
Environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual development of
this system, and a tropical depression could form toward the end of
the week or weekend. This system should move westward to
west-northwestward at about 20 mph across the central tropical
Atlantic and approach the vicinity of the Leeward Islands on Friday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.

Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
A tropical wave located a few hundred miles to the southeast of the
Cabo Verde Islands continues to produce a concentrated area of
showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions appear generally
favorable for additional development over the next couple of days as
the system moves westward at around 15 mph. Towards the end of this
week, this system could encounter a less favorable environment,
limiting its development chances after that time.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

$$
Forecaster Papin