934
ABNT20 KNHC 171715
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Sun Aug 17 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Erin, north of the Lesser Antilles.

Northwestern Atlantic:
Recent satellite-derived winds indicate an elongated area of low
pressure located a couple hundred miles off the coast of North
Carolina with associated surface winds of less than 20 mph.  Shower
activity remains limited, and development, if any, of this system
should be slow to occur during the next day or so, while it drifts
generally eastward.  The opportunity for development should end on
Monday, when environmental upper-level winds are expected to become
unfavorable.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.

Central Tropical Atlantic:
A tropical wave located near the Cabo Verde Islands is producing
disorganized showers and thunderstorms.  Some gradual development of
this system is possible during the middle to latter portion of the
week while the system moves westward to west-northwestward at 15 to
20 mph across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

$$
Forecaster Roberts