126
ABNT20 KNHC 072331
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Tue Oct 7 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Jerry, located in the central Tropical Atlantic.

Southwestern Gulf:
A trough of low pressure is emerging over the Bay of Campeche from
the Yucatan Peninsula, and continues to produce a large area of
disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Some slow development of
this system is possible before it moves inland again over southern
Mexico late Wednesday or early Thursday.  Regardless of development,
areas of heavy rain and gusty winds are likely across portions of
the Yucatan Peninsula, Belize, and southern Mexico during the next
couple of days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.

&&
Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Jerry are issued under WMO
header WTNT35 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT5.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Jerry are issued under WMO
header WTNT25 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT5.

$$
Forecaster Papin