303
FNUS73 KARX 061531
FWSARX

Spot Forecast for Suk Cerney Dike...USFWS
National Weather Service La Crosse WI
1031 AM CDT Fri Jun 6 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1100 CDT on June 06.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (608) 784-8292 if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...light showers likely coming to an end by noon.
Chances return (20-30%) by mid afternoon into early afternoon
(roughly 3 to 8 pm). Any rainfall would be light with amounts
under 1/10". Very light wind field, upwards of 10 kft feet, making
for poor smoke dispersal. Overcast with high based clouds (8-10
kft).

Note - rain chances today are tied to very small features in the
upper level flow and can be hard to pick up more than a few hours
out. Some adjustments to rain chances are possible as we move
through the afternoon hours (ie, 20% chances could increase to 50%
for your location - same time frame).

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of
                    showers late in the morning, then slight chance
                    of showers early in the afternoon.
CWR.................30 percent decreasing to 10 percent late in the
                    afternoon.
Chance of thunder...14 percent.
Temperature.........66 at ignition...Max 73.
RH..................68 percent at ignition...Min 51 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds east at 3 mph at ignition...otherwise
                    Light winds becoming north around 5 mph late in
                    the afternoon.
Mixing height.......2100 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 2700 ft AGL
                    increasing to 4400 ft AGL late in the
                    afternoon, then decreasing to 2200 ft AGL late
                    in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....Northeast 5 to 6 mph shifting to the northwest
                    in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor /10400 knot-ft/ at ignition. Max...fair
                    /18100 knot-ft/.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P
Sky (%).........85  86  87  83  81  77  77
Weather cov.....CHC SCH SCH
Weather type....RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
CWR.............30  20  20  10  10  10  10
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   10  10  10  10  10
Temp............66  69  72  70  71  71  70
RH..............68  59  51  55  53  55  53
20 FT wind dir..E   NE  N   N   N   N   N
20 FT wind spd..3   3   4   5   5   5   5
20 FT wind gust.8   9   9   9   9   11  11
Mix hgt (kft)...2.1 2.7 4.4 3.6 3.2 2.9 2.2
Transp wind dir.NE  NE  NW  NW  NW  NW  N
Transp wind spd.6   5   5   6   6   6   6
SDspl kt-ft/100010  11  17  18  16  15  11

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms early in the evening.
                    Slight chance of rain showers overnight.
CWR.................20 percent decreasing to 10 percent early in
                    the evening, then increasing to 20 percent
                    overnight.
Chance of thunder...18 percent.
Temperature.........Min 54.
RH..................Max 91 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds around 5 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms early in the
                    evening.
Mixing height.......300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North around 6 mph shifting to the east 5 to 7
                    mph in the late evening and overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (1700 knot-ft).

TIME (CDT)      1 PM   3 PM   5 PM   7 PM   9 PM   11 PM
Sky (%).........76     74     76     79     75     73
Weather cov.....S CHC                       S CHC  S CHC
Weather type....RNSHWR NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........S CHC
CWR.............20     10     10     10     20     20
Chc of thdr (%).20     10     10     10     10     10
Temp............70     67     60     59     58     55
RH..............55     60     82     88     91     88
20 ft wind......N 5    NE 4   NE 3   E 3    E 3    E 3
20 ft wind gust.11     9      7      7      8      8
Mix hgt (ft)....1700   700    300    400    500    500
Transport wind..N 6    N 6    E 7    E 6    E 6    E 5
SDspl kt-ft/10009      3      2      2      2      2

$$
Forecaster...TR
Requested by...Ben Halverson
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2515459.0/ARX
.DELDT 06/06/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL benjamin_halverson@fws.gov