Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI
918
FNUS73 KAPX 240919
FWSAPX
Spot Forecast for 6 Mile South...USFS
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
519 AM EDT Fri Apr 24 2026
Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 EDT on April 24.
If conditions become unrepresentative... contact the National Weather
Service.
Please contact our office at (989)732-9306, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.
.DISCUSSION... Another mild day on tap as a system progresses
through the Great Lakes region. Anticipating high temperatures to
flirt with the 70 degree mark by late morning into the afternoon.
As such, with an increasingly moist airmass (Min RHs likely
struggle to get much lower than 60), showers and storms are
expected to develop late this morning into the afternoon hours,
which will lead to suboptimal burning conditions if a storm can
traverse the burn area. In addition, the presence of showers and
thunderstorms will lead to potential for erratic wind patterns at
times. Otherwise, winds set to shift more south to southwest
through the day after starting out southeast early this morning.
Mixing heights will struggle to get over 1,000ft, with ventilation
suffering as a result. In the evening, rain and thunderstorms
will taper, leaving behind a period of mist and fog that will keep
moisture high into Saturday morning. Drier conditions eventually
build for Saturday, with peeks of sun prevailing as we head into
the afternoon... albeit with cooler temperatures near 60. A
persistent north wind is expected Saturday, sustained around
10mph, gusting as high as 15 to 20mph. Mixing and ventilation is
anticipated to be markedly better Saturday than today.
.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms, with highest chances for rain favoring
later this morning into the afternoon.
Chance of thunder...30 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 69.
Min humidity........59 percent.
20-foot winds.......South winds 9 to 12 mph shifting to the
southwest in the afternoon. Gusty and erratic
winds expected near thunderstorms early in the
morning. Gusty and erratic winds expected near
thunderstorms late in the morning.
Transport winds.....South 12 to 17 mph shifting to the west 12 to
13 mph late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......500-2000 ft AGL.
Ventilation index...Poor to fair (47.0-281.0).
TIME (EDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........68 67 70 80 84 89 88 87 80 82
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH
Chc of thdr (%).20 20 20 30 30 30 30 30 30 20
Temp............63 65 67 68 68 68 67 68 68 67
RH..............78 78 75 76 78 76 75 73 70 70
20 ft wind dir..S S S S SW SW SW W W W
20 ft wind spd..9 12 12 12 12 12 12 9 9 9
20 ft wind gust.15 22 22 22 21 21 21 15 15 15
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 1.3 1.3 2.0 1.9 1.5 1.4 1.5 1.6 1.5
Transp wind dir.S S S S S SW SW SW W W
Transp wind spd.12 14 16 17 17 16 14 12 12 13
Vrate kt-ft.....47 153 191 281 194 167 147 111 147 170
Ventrate Cat....PR FR FR FR FR FR FR PR FR FR
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) then becoming
partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Chance of rain
showers and slight chance of thunderstorms
early in the evening.
Chance of thunder...19 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 41.
Max humidity........93 percent.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 8 to 10 mph shifting to the
north 6 to 9 mph with gusts to around 20 mph
overnight. Gusty and erratic winds expected
near thunderstorms early in the evening.
Transport winds.....Northwest 12 to 15 mph shifting to the north 14
to 21 mph in the late evening and overnight.
Mixing height.......500-1300 ft AGL.
Ventilation index...Poor to fair (59.0-222.0).
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........82 87 87 78 76 72 70 76 70 56 55 50
Weather cov.....CHC CHC
Weather type....RW RW
Tstm cov........SCH SCH
Chc of thdr (%).20 20 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Temp............64 60 56 52 50 48 47 46 45 44 44 43
RH..............75 81 83 89 86 86 86 89 86 93 93 93
20 ft wind dir..NW NW NW NW NW NW N N N N N N
20 ft wind spd..8 8 8 10 10 10 9 9 9 8 8 8
20 ft wind gust.15 15 15 18 18 18 20 20 20 17 17 17
Mix hgt (kft)...1.2 0.8 1.2 0.6 1.2 1.2 0.7 1.3 1.3 0.5 0.6 1.2
Transp wind dir.W NW NW N N N N N N N N N
Transp wind spd.13 12 15 15 17 20 17 21 20 17 14 15
Vrate kt-ft.....126 59 135 72 161 181 95 222 221 77 77 173
Ventrate Cat....PR PR FR PR FR FR PR FR FR PR PR FR
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent) then becoming
sunny (15-25 percent).
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 60.
Min humidity........55 percent.
20-foot winds.......North winds 6 to 8 mph.
Transport winds.....North 14 to 17 mph.
Mixing height.......1200-2200 ft AGL.
Ventilation index...Fair (153.0).
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........67 80 83 79 66 53 45 36 28 25 22 19
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of thdr (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Temp............43 43 42 43 46 50 53 56 57 59 60 60
RH..............93 89 93 93 86 74 69 62 62 57 55 55
20 ft wind dir..N N N N N N N N N N N N
20 ft wind spd..7 7 7 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8
20 ft wind gust.15 15 15 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 16
Mix hgt (kft)...1.2 1.2 1.2 1.3 1.6 1.8 2.0 2.1 2.2 2.2 2.1 1.9
Transp wind dir.N N N N N N N N N N N N
Transp wind spd.15 15 17 15 15 16 16 16 15 15 15 14
Vrate kt-ft.....169 153 164 220 253 259 260 253 245 254 257 240
Ventrate Cat....FR FR FR FR FR FR FR FR FR FR FR FR
$$
Forecaster...HAD
Requested by...Joe Raspotnik
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2611537.0/APX
.DELDT 04/24/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL joseph.raspotnik@usda.gov