431
FNUS73 KAPX 071233
FWSAPX

Spot Forecast for Benzie Rd FIre...MIDNR
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
833 AM EDT Tue Oct 7 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0900 EDT on October 07.
If conditions become unrepresentative... contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (989)732-9306, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...Light northwest winds at the wildfire site this morning
are expected to become occasionally gusty out of the northwest midday
through this afternoon with highest surface gusts approaching 20 mph,
although subtle terrain features to the west of the site may help to
shelter max gust potential, but also result in erratic/swirly winds. RHs
fall through the afternoon, bottoming out in the mid-upper 30% range.

Secondary reinforcing cold front crosses this evening with winds turning
northerly tonight while diminishing in speed. Lots of sun expected on
Wednesday with mainly light northerly winds and afternoon RHs dropping
to near 30% during the afternoon.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent) then becoming
                    mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 64.
Min humidity........36 percent.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 8 mph.
Transport winds.....North 10 to 17 mph.
Mixing height.......1300-2600 ft AGL increasing to 3400-4900 ft AGL
                    in the afternoon.
Ventilation index...Fair to good (131.0-435.0) increasing to
                    excellent (632.0) late in the afternoon.

TIME (EDT)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........84  67  50  63  62  54  32  24  6
Weather cov.....SCH
Weather type....RW
Tstm cov........
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............52  54  57  61  62  62  64  63  62
RH..............89  83  72  60  58  54  43  39  36
20 ft wind dir..N   N   N   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 ft wind spd..7   7   7   8   8   8   10  10  10
20 ft wind gust.13  13  13  15  15  15  17  17  17
Mix hgt (kft)...1.3 1.3 1.9 2.6 3.4 4.2 4.6 4.9 3.9
Transp wind dir.N   N   N   N   N   N   NW  NW  NW
Transp wind spd.10  10  12  13  13  15  16  17  17
Vrate kt-ft.....131 136 217 329 435 632 749 852 676
Ventrate Cat....FR  FR  FR  GD  GD  EXL EXL EXL EXL

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (0-10 percent). Areas of frost
                    early in the morning.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 33.
Max humidity........92 percent.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 7 mph in the evening and
                    overnight becoming light.
Transport winds.....North 9 to 16 mph.
Mixing height.......1100-2800 ft AGL decreasing to 500-800 ft AGL
                    early in the evening.
Ventilation index...Poor to good (46.0-449.0).

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........2   2   2   8   10  10  10  6   2   5   7   10
Weather cov.....                                            ARS
Weather type....                                            FST
Tstm cov........
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............60  56  52  49  46  45  44  42  41  40  38  36
RH..............37  45  54  63  73  76  76  79  76  76  82  85
20 ft wind dir..NW  NW  NW  N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
20 ft wind spd..9   9   9   7   7   7   6   6   6   5   5   5
20 ft wind gust.15  15  15  16  16  16  15  15  15  10  10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...2.8 1.1 0.6 0.5 0.6 0.8 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.6
Transp wind dir.NW  NW  NW  N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
Transp wind spd.16  12  12  9   13  15  15  14  13  12  12  12
Vrate kt-ft.....449 124 69  46  73  118 94  87  70  60  57  66
Ventrate Cat....GD  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent). Areas of frost early in
                    the morning.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 57.
Min humidity........30 percent.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming north 5 to 7 mph in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Transport winds.....North 9 to 16 mph.
Mixing height.......500-2400 ft AGL increasing to 3200-5100 ft AGL
                    late in the morning.
Ventilation index...Poor to good (58.0-504.0).

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........8   6   4   3   2   1   1   2   2   2   2   1
Weather cov.....ARS WID WID
Weather type....FST FST FST
Tstm cov........
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............35  34  34  38  47  49  51  53  55  57  57  56
RH..............89  92  92  82  58  54  46  41  35  31  30  31
20 ft wind dir..N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
20 ft wind spd..5   5   5   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7
20 ft wind gust.10  10  10  14  14  14  14  14  14  12  12  12
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.6 0.5 1.5 2.4 3.2 3.6 4.1 4.5 4.9 5.1 4.8
Transp wind dir.N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
Transp wind spd.12  12  12  15  16  15  14  12  10  9   9   9
Vrate kt-ft.....58  63  60  228 385 479 504 494 462 475 485 442
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  FR  GD  GD  GD  GD  GD  GD  GD  GD

$$
Forecaster...MJG
Requested by...Nate Stearns
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2523081.0/APX
.DELDT 10/07/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL stearnsn@michigan.gov