726
FNUS73 KAPX 060955
FWSAPX

Spot Forecast for Carpenter Creek South...MIDNR
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
555 AM EDT Fri Jun 6 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1100 EDT on June 06.
If conditions become unrepresentative... contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (989)732-9306, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
Dry conditions are expected today, with min humidity likely
falling to around 30 percent at the site. There is a chance for
humidity to fall into the upper 20s briefly during the afternoon
hours though, especially since it looks like that did happen
yesterday. North to northeast winds will be light, however, about
5 to 10 mph most of the day. Occasional gusts into the low to mid
teens will be possible. Mixing heights will be around 3 to 5 kft
through the day as well. Similar conditions anticipated on
Saturday; dry with relatively light winds, afternoon humidity in
the 30s, and similar stability.


.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent).
Chance of thunder...1 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 74.
Min humidity........30 percent.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming northwest 5 to 10 mph late
                    in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....North 3 to 9 mph.
Mixing height.......800-2100 ft AGL increasing to 3400-4800 ft AGL
                    in the afternoon.
Ventilation index...Poor to good (24.0-340.0).

TIME (EDT)      11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........70  59  60  61  54  48  40
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............68  70  72  72  73  73  72
RH..............47  41  36  31  30  31  34
20 ft wind dir..NE  N   N   N   N   N   N
20 ft wind spd..2   6   6   6   7   7   7
20 ft wind gust.7   12  12  12  15  15  15
Mix hgt (kft)...0.8 2.1 3.4 4.1 4.7 4.8 4.2
Transp wind dir.N   N   N   N   N   N   N
Transp wind spd.3   6   6   6   7   7   9
Vrate kt-ft.....24  104 171 203 189 289 340
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  FR  FR  FR  FR  GD

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent).
Chance of thunder...2 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 48.
Max humidity........94 percent.
20-foot winds.......North winds 5 to 6 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light.
Transport winds.....North 6 to 10 mph.
Mixing height.......1700-3200 ft AGL decreasing to 400-800 ft AGL
                    early in the evening.
Ventilation index...Poor to fair (20.0-288.0).

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........33  31  29  28  27  25  22  22  21  19  16  28
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............71  71  67  63  59  57  55  53  52  51  50  50
RH..............37  37  43  54  67  75  80  86  86  86  91  91
20 ft wind dir..N   N   N   N   N   N   NE  NE  NE  E   E   E
20 ft wind spd..7   7   7   2   2   2   1   1   1   1   1   1
20 ft wind gust.15  15  15  9   9   9   3   3   3   2   2   2
Mix hgt (kft)...3.2 1.7 0.8 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.N   N   N   N   N   N   N   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
Transp wind spd.10  10  9   7   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   7
Vrate kt-ft.....288 156 67  30  22  20  20  22  21  20  20  22
Ventrate Cat....FR  FR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Chance of thunder...2 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 75.
Min humidity........32 percent.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming northeast around 5 mph.
Transport winds.....East 7 to 8 mph shifting to the south 5 to 7
                    mph in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......400-1800 ft AGL increasing to 4100-4900 ft AGL.
Ventilation index...Poor to fair (25.0-249.0).

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........40  25  24  20  15  16  17  23  29  36  44  50
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............50  49  53  57  64  67  70  72  73  74  75  75
RH..............91  94  84  78  63  50  41  36  35  32  32  32
20 ft wind dir..NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  N   N   N   N   N   N
20 ft wind spd..2   2   2   2   2   2   1   1   1   1   1   1
20 ft wind gust.6   6   6   9   9   9   12  12  12  13  13  13
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.5 0.6 1.2 1.8 2.5 3.3 4.1 4.7 4.9 4.7 4.1
Transp wind dir.NE  NE  E   E   E   E   E   SE  S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.7   8   8   8   7   7   7   6   5   5   6   7
Vrate kt-ft.....25  33  42  84  107 151 198 207 187 214 249 247
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  FR  FR  FR  FR  FR  FR  FR

$$
Forecaster...JLD
Requested by...Jeff Vasher
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2515415.0/APX
.DELDT 06/06/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL vasherj@michigan.gov