612
FNUS73 KAPX 031439
FWSAPX

Spot Forecast for Initial Attack...USFS
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
1039 AM EDT Tue Jun 3 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1100 EDT on June 03.
If conditions become unrepresentative... contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (989)732-9306, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

Southwest winds will continue to strengthen this morning and into
the afternoon hours with frequent gusts up to 25 mph and
occasional gusts up to 30 mph. High temperatures will rise well
into the 80s, with min RHs dipping into the mid 30s. Moisture
amounts will continue to increase this afternoon as temperatures
warm, leading to skies eventually filling up with cumulus clouds.
Chances for thunderstorms this evening and tonight as a cold front
approaches. The front will move through Wednesday morning,
continuing rain chances through much of the day on Wednesday.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers late in the afternoon.
Chance of thunder...8 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 85.
Min humidity........35 percent.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph with frequent gusts
up to 25 mph.
Transport winds.....Southwest 23 to 31 mph increasing to around 33
                    mph late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......2200-3400 ft AGL increasing to 6400-7200 ft
                    AGL.
Ventilation index...Good to excellent (501.0-773.0) increasing to
                    excellent (2399.0).

TIME (EDT)      11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........20  30  40  40  40  50  53
Weather cov.....                        SCH
Weather type....                        RW
Tstm cov........
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   10  10  10  10
Temp............74  80  82  84  85  85  84
RH..............50  45  44  43  41  40  40
20 ft wind dir..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 ft wind spd..7   10  15  15  16  16  16
20 ft wind gust.12  15  20  25  26  26  26
Mix hgt (kft)...2.2 3.4 4.4 5.3 5.8 6.4 7.2
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.23  23  26  28  31  31  33
Vrate kt-ft.....501 773 11601464181019902399
Ventrate Cat....GD  EXL EXL EXL EXL EXL EXL

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers in the evening and overnight.
Chance of thunder...15 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 62.
Max humidity........95 percent.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 9 to 12 mph with gusts to
                    around 28 mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms early in the evening.
Transport winds.....Southwest 23 to 32 mph.
Mixing height.......4300-5900 ft AGL decreasing to 1700-3600 ft AGL
                    early in the evening.
Ventilation index...Excellent (1894.0).

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........50  61  68  71  70  67  70  74  80  86  85  85
Weather cov.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........        SCH SCH SCH             SCH SCH SCH SCH
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
Temp............84  83  81  79  78  77  75  75  73  74  73  72
RH..............40  43  47  50  54  58  62  61  65  65  66  68
20 ft wind dir..SW  SW  SW  S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 ft wind spd..15  15  15  13  13  13  13  13  13  13  13  13
20 ft wind gust.28  28  28  25  25  25  25  25  25  25  25  25
Mix hgt (kft)...5.9 4.3 3.0 1.7 2.2 3.3 2.9 3.6 3.8 3.8 4.0 3.8
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  SW  S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.32  28  25  25  24  23  24  25  26  26  26  25
Vrate kt-ft.....18941181764 439 520 755 694 910 101410001056967
Ventrate Cat....EXL EXL EXL GD  GD  EXL EXL EXL EXL EXL EXL EXL

$$
Forecaster...ELD
Requested by...Brian Stearns
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2515276.0/APX
.DELDT 06/03/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL johnnortonjensen@gmail.com,brian.stearns@usda.gov