Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI
155
FNUS73 KAPX 040600
FWSAPX
Spot Forecast for Link...USFS
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
200 AM EDT Mon May 4 2026
Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 EDT on May 04.
If conditions become unrepresentative... contact the National Weather
Service.
Please contact our office at (989)732-9306, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.
...Elevated fire danger today...
.DISCUSSION...Southwest winds will increase this morning at the burn
site. Strongest gusts expected this afternoon, as high as around 35
mph. Afternoon RHs expected to fall to near 30%, but at least low
potential exists for at least a couple hours of in the mid-upper 20%
range.
A cold front crosses the burn site this evening. Winds shift
northwesterly behind the front and significantly diminish in speed.
Scattered showers and a few thunderstorms possible with this
boundary, mainly this evening with chances continuing off and on
overnight. Much cooler temperatures and lighter west-northwest winds
in store for Tuesday, although RHs fall back to near 40%.
.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-40 percent) then becoming
mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of rain
showers and slight chance of thunderstorms late
in the afternoon.
Chance of thunder...19 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 70.
Min humidity........33 percent.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 9 to 14 mph with gusts to
around 36 mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected
near thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southwest 20 to 28 mph increasing to 25 to 33
mph late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......1000-2500 ft AGL.
Ventilation index...Fair to good (174.0-595.0) increasing to good
to excellent (300.0-722.0) late in the
afternoon.
TIME (EDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........30 30 35 40 45 58 72 85
Weather cov..... CHC
Weather type.... RW
Tstm cov........ SCH
Chc of thdr (%).0 0 0 0 10 10 10 20
Temp............57 63 66 67 68 69 70 69
RH..............53 43 37 34 33 31 34 38
20 ft wind dir..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
20 ft wind spd..13 13 17 17 17 17 17 17
20 ft wind gust.28 28 35 35 35 36 36 36
Mix hgt (kft)...1.0 1.4 1.6 2.0 2.2 2.5 2.0 1.4
Transp wind dir.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
Transp wind spd.20 22 25 28 31 33 29 25
Vrate kt-ft.....174 259 352 478 595 722 511 300
Ventrate Cat....FR FR GD GD GD EXL GD GD
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Slight chance of
thunderstorms early in the evening. Chance of
rain showers in the evening and overnight.
Chance of thunder...19 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 41.
Max humidity........74 percent.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 7 to 12 mph with gusts to
around 28 mph early in the evening shifting to
the northwest 5 to 7 mph, then shifting to the
north 5 to 6 mph overnight becoming light.
Gusty and erratic winds expected near
thunderstorms early in the evening.
Transport winds.....Southwest 16 to 23 mph shifting to the west 10
to 13 mph late in the evening, then shifting to
the northwest 13 to 15 mph late in the evening
shifting to the north 5 to 14 mph overnight.
Mixing height.......400-1300 ft AGL.
Ventilation index...Poor to fair (18.0-252.0).
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........83 81 79 74 70 65 65 66 66 63 61 58
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........SCH SCH
Chc of thdr (%).20 20 10 10 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Temp............67 64 61 57 53 50 48 48 47 46 44 43
RH..............45 52 60 67 71 74 74 68 68 68 70 73
20 ft wind dir..SW SW SW W W W NW NW NW NW NW NW
20 ft wind spd..13 13 13 7 7 7 8 8 8 7 7 7
20 ft wind gust.28 28 28 16 16 16 16 16 16 15 15 15
Mix hgt (kft)...1.3 0.7 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.6 1.1 1.2 1.2 1.1 0.4
Transp wind dir.SW SW SW W W NW NW N N N N N
Transp wind spd.23 21 16 13 10 15 13 14 14 13 12 5
Vrate kt-ft.....252 133 74 52 45 79 64 129 140 130 113 18
Ventrate Cat....FR FR PR PR PR PR PR PR FR FR PR PR
.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent).
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 54.
Min humidity........41 percent.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming northwest 5 to 6 mph in
the late morning and afternoon.
Transport winds.....Northwest 6 to 15 mph shifting to the west 16
to 20 mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Mixing height.......500-2000 ft AGL increasing to 4600-4900 ft AGL.
Ventilation index...Poor to good (24.0-470.0) increasing to good to
excellent (570.0-825.0) in the afternoon.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........53 48 43 43 42 42 43 45 46 48 51 53
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of thdr (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Temp............43 43 43 44 45 46 47 49 50 51 51 51
RH..............73 73 70 65 58 53 49 46 44 42 41 41
20 ft wind dir..NW NW NW NW NW NW W W W W W W
20 ft wind spd..6 6 6 9 9 9 9 9 9 8 8 8
20 ft wind gust.14 14 14 17 17 17 17 17 17 17 17 17
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.5 0.6 2.0 2.9 3.4 3.9 4.2 4.5 4.8 4.9 4.6
Transp wind dir.N NW NW NW NW W W W W W W W
Transp wind spd.6 8 12 15 16 16 17 17 18 20 20 18
Vrate kt-ft.....24 37 63 263 403 470 570 656 718 800 825 734
Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR FR GD GD GD EXL EXL EXL EXL EXL
$$
Forecaster...MJG
Requested by...Brandon Kelley
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2612573.0/APX
.DELDT 05/04/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL brandon.kelley@usda.gov