Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI

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FNUS73 KAPX 092203
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Spot Forecast for 6188 Sandy Shores...Benzie County Central Dispatch
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
603 PM EDT Sat Aug 9 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1800 EDT on August 09.
If conditions become unrepresentative... contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (989)732-9306, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
Scattered showers and thunderstorms will impact the incident site this
evening, after 7 pm. Brief heavy rainfall, lightning, and wind gusts up
to 35 mph are expected with any storm. This will diminish to showers
overnight. A chance for showers lasts through Sunday, with thunderstorms
possible in the afternoon. A strong thunderstorm or two may be possible.

Ongoing breezy southwest winds with diminish tonight, then return for
Sunday afternoon. Temperatures will not be as hot Sunday as today.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (55-65 percent). Scattered
                    thunderstorms early in the evening. Scattered
                    showers early in the evening. Isolated
                    thunderstorms late in the evening.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Chance of thunder...38 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 70.
Surface winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 13 mph decreasing to 5 to
                    6 mph early in the morning.
Ceiling (kft).......23 decreasing to 20 late in the evening, then
                    decreasing to 12 late in the evening increasing
                    to 19 overnight decreasing to 15.
Visibility (sm).....9.
Wave Height.........Waves calm to 2 feet.
Wave period.........0 seconds.
Freezing Spray......None.
Wave Direction......0.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........38  31  38  43  51  60  58  65  60  64  73  69
Weather cov.....        SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT
Weather type....        RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........        SCT SCT SCT ISO ISO ISO
Chc of pcpn (%).10  10  50  50  40  30  30  30  30  30  30  30
Chc of thdr (%).20  20  30  30  30  40  40  40  20  20  20  10
Temp............89  88  86  83  80  77  76  74  74  73  72  72
Surface wnd dir.SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Surface wnd spd.13  13  13  8   8   8   7   7   7   6   6   6
Surface wnd gst.21  21  21  20  20  20  20  20  20  16  16  16
Ceiling (kft)...24  23  24  20  20  14  12  21  20  20  19  15
Visibility (sm).10  10  10  10  10  10  9   10  10  10  10  9
Wave Direction..000 000 000 000 000 000 000 000 000 000 000 000
Wave period (s).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Wave height (ft)1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Freezing spray..

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Isolated
                    thunderstorms in the morning. Scattered showers
                    through the day. Scattered thunderstorms in the
                    afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Chance of thunder...30 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 85.
Surface winds.......Southwest winds 6 to 12 mph.
Ceiling (kft).......11 decreasing to 8.2 in the morning, then
                    decreasing to 5.5 late in the morning
                    increasing to 6.9 early in the afternoon
                    increasing to 9.1 increasing to 11 late in the
                    afternoon.
Visibility (sm).....10.
Wave Height.........Waves calm to 2 feet.
Wave period.........0 seconds.
Freezing Spray......None.
Wave Direction......0.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........71  72  69  70  64  61  58  59  60  54  46  45
Weather cov.....SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                    ISO ISO ISO SCT SCT SCT ISO
Chc of pcpn (%).30  30  30  30  30  30  30  30  30  30  30  30
Chc of thdr (%).10  10  20  20  20  20  20  20  30  30  30  30
Temp............71  70  71  73  77  79  80  81  83  83  84  84
Surface wnd dir.S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Surface wnd spd.6   6   6   8   8   8   12  12  12  12  12  12
Surface wnd gst.16  16  16  17  17  17  18  18  18  20  20  20
Ceiling (kft)...11  9.0 8.3 8.2 8.3 5.5 6.9 7.2 7.4 9.1 11  12
Visibility (sm).10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
Wave Direction..000 000 000 000 000 000 000 000 000 000 000 000
Wave period (s).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Wave height (ft)1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Freezing spray..

.SUNDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Scattered
                    showers through the night. Chance of
                    thunderstorms overnight.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Chance of thunder...30 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 68.
Surface winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 9 mph shifting to the
                    south 5 to 6 mph in the late evening and
                    overnight.
Ceiling (kft).......10 increasing to 13 late in the evening.
Visibility (sm).....10 in the evening.
Wave Height.........Waves calm to 2 feet.
Wave period.........0 seconds.
Freezing Spray......None.
Wave Direction......0.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........36  40  33  35  32  27  40  54  68  71  74  77
Weather cov.....SCT SCT CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........ISO ISO SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).30  30  40  40  40  40  40  40  50  50  50  50
Chc of thdr (%).30  30  20  20  20  10  10  10  30  30  30  20
Temp............83  82  79  77  74  73  72  71  70  70  70  70
Surface wnd dir.SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  S   S   S   S   S   S
Surface wnd spd.9   9   9   6   6   6   2   2   2   3   3   3
Surface wnd gst.18  18  18  14  14  14  13  13  13  13  13  13
Ceiling (kft)...12  11  10  11  12  13
Visibility (sm).10  10  10  10  10  10
Wave Direction..000 000 000 000 000 000 000 000 000 000 000 000
Wave period (s).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Wave height (ft)1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Freezing spray..

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Chance of
                    thunderstorms early in the morning. Chance of
                    showers through the day, then chance of
                    thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Chance of thunder...36 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 81.
Surface winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 6 mph increasing to 5 to 8
                    mph late in the morning.
Ceiling (kft).......MISSING.
Visibility (sm).....MISSING.
Wave Height.........Waves calm to 2 feet.
Wave period.........0 seconds.
Freezing Spray......None.
Wave Direction......0.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........77  77  77  78  79  80  77  74  71  65  60  54
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).50  50  50  50  50  50  50  50  50  50  50  50
Chc of thdr (%).20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  30  30  30  40
Temp............70  70  70  71  72  73  75  77  78  79  79  79
Surface wnd dir.SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Surface wnd spd.3   3   3   6   6   6   8   8   8   8   8   8
Surface wnd gst.13  13  13  15  15  15  17  17  17  17  17  17
Ceiling (kft)...
Visibility (sm).
Wave Direction..000 000 000 000 000 000 000 000 000 000 000 000
Wave period (s).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Wave height (ft)1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Freezing spray..

$$
Forecaster...JZ
Requested by...Cory Ellis
Type of request...SAR
.TAG 2519627.0/APX
.DELDT 08/09/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL cellis@benzieco.gov