Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI
335
FNUS53 KAPX 120900
FWFAPX
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
500 AM EDT Wed Aug 12 2026
...Chance for showers and thunderstorms today...
.DISCUSSION...A cluster of showers and thunderstorms is advancing
out of northeast Wisconsin. Though weakening is expected, some of
this activity will reach northwest lower Michigan this morning.
Additional development is expected this afternoon in parts of
northeast lower Michigan. All of this departs by mid evening,
with mainly quiet weather for Thursday.
Winds will be light and variable today, with a light northerly
breeze developing Thursday. Minimum humidities will range from
the mid 40s to mid 50s percent today and Thursday. Mixing heights
range from 4000 to 5500 feet.
MIZ016-017-021>023-099-122200-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
500 AM EDT Wed Aug 12 2026
.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Patchy fog until
1200. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms after 1200.
Max Temperature.....78-83...except 70-75 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........46-51 percent.
24 HR Trend......8 percent wetter...except 2 percent wetter
along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming northwest around 5 mph in
the afternoon. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (395).
Mixing Height.......4700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 3 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.03 in .
Chance of Thunder...5 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Patchy fog after
2400.
Min Temperature.....55-60...except 63-68 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
Max Humidity........93-98 percent...except 79-84 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......Unchanged...except 7 percent drier along the
coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds.
Vent Rate...........Poor (14).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...5 percent.
.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Patchy fog until
1200.
Max Temperature.....77-82...except 70-75 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler.
Min Humidity........45-50 percent.
24 HR Trend......1 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming northwest around 5 mph in
the afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Good (373).
Mixing Height.......3800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...7 percent.
$$
MIZ018-024-030-036-042-122200-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
500 AM EDT Wed Aug 12 2026
.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Patchy fog until
1200. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms until 1200Chance of showers and
thunderstorms after 1200.
Max Temperature.....79-84...except 68-73 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler.
Min Humidity........50-55 percent.
24 HR Trend......7 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming north around 5 mph in the
afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Fair (259).
Mixing Height.......4000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.19 in .
Chance of Thunder...19 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Patchy fog after
2400.
Min Temperature.....55-60...except 63-68 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent...except 82-87 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......1 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds.
Vent Rate...........Poor (18).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.10 in .
Chance of Thunder...13 percent.
.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent). Patchy fog until
1200.
Max Temperature.....78-83...except 68-73 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
Min Humidity........47-52 percent.
24 HR Trend......7 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming north around 5 mph in the
afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Good (392).
Mixing Height.......4400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...9 percent.
$$
MIZ020-025>027-122200-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
500 AM EDT Wed Aug 12 2026
.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Patchy fog until
1200. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms until 1200.
Max Temperature.....78-83...except 68-73 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........51-56 percent.
24 HR Trend......2 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming northwest around 5 mph in
the afternoon. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (343).
Mixing Height.......4100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 3 mph shifting to the northwest
around 9 mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .
Chance of Thunder...4 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
Min Temperature.....55-60...except 67-72 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent...except 79-84 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......4 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (13).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 6 mph shifting to the east around
3 mph after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...4 percent.
.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Patchy fog until
1200.
Max Temperature.....78-83...except 69-74 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
Min Humidity........48-53 percent.
24 HR Trend......2 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming north around 5 mph in the
afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Good (307).
Mixing Height.......4000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 3 mph shifting to the
northwest around 9 mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .
Chance of Thunder...6 percent.
$$
MIZ031>033-122200-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
500 AM EDT Wed Aug 12 2026
.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Patchy fog until
1200. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms.
Max Temperature.....81-86...except 74-79 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........49-54 percent.
24 HR Trend......1 percent wetter...except 7 percent drier along
the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming northwest around 5 mph in
the afternoon. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (407).
Mixing Height.......4900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 3 mph shifting to the northwest
around 9 mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.07 in .
Chance of Thunder...5 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Patchy fog after
2400.
Min Temperature.....56-61.
24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
Max Humidity........91-96 percent.
24 HR Trend......4 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph in the evening
becoming light. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (16).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 9 mph shifting to the northeast
around 6 mph after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.04 in .
Chance of Thunder...5 percent.
.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Patchy fog until
1200.
Max Temperature.....80-85.
24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
Min Humidity........46-51 percent.
24 HR Trend......2 percent drier...except 7 percent drier along
the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming northwest around 5 mph in
the afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Good (340).
Mixing Height.......4600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 6 mph shifting to the west in
the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...6 percent.
$$
MIZ028-029-034-035-041-122200-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
500 AM EDT Wed Aug 12 2026
.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Patchy fog until
1200. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms until 1200Chance of showers and
thunderstorms after 1200.
Max Temperature.....81-86.
24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler.
Min Humidity........50-55 percent.
24 HR Trend......4 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming northwest around 5 mph in
the afternoon. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (359).
Mixing Height.......5300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.06 in .
Chance of Thunder...19 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Areas of fog
after 2400.
Min Temperature.....55-60.
24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent.
24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds.
Vent Rate...........Poor (14).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.03 in .
Chance of Thunder...13 percent.
.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Areas of fog
until 1200.
Max Temperature.....80-85.
24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler.
Min Humidity........47-52 percent.
24 HR Trend......6 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming northwest around 5 mph in
the afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Good (430).
Mixing Height.......5500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...9 percent.
$$
.EXTENDED...
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
70S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
$$
JZ