849
FNUS53 KAPX 171810
FWFAPX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
210 PM EDT Sun Aug 17 2025

...Dry and breezy midday Monday...

.DISCUSSION...

Drier air from Canada will continue through Monday afternoon. East
winds will shift to the southeast and south early Monday and
become breezy with occasional gusts in the morning hours. Breezy
winds will linger through the evening hours. Min humidities will
dip into the 40s and 50s as temperatures warm into the high 70s
and low 80s. Skies will fill in midday, with scattered shower
chances approaching NW lower in the afternoon. Virga is likely to
be seen initially, then wetting rain chances increase into the
evening/overnight timeframe.

MIZ016-017-021>023-099-180830-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
210 PM EDT Sun Aug 17 2025

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
Min Temperature.....50-55...except 57-62 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......7 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........89-94 percent...except 75-80 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 percent wetter...except 3 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 5 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (41).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Max Temperature.....78-83...except 71-76 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........38-43 percent.
   24 HR Trend......11 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (497).
Mixing Height.......3400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...3 percent.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers until 2400, then rain showers likely
                    and chance of thunderstorms.
Min Temperature.....57-62...except 64-69 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......9 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent...except 85-90 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged...except 7 percent wetter along the
                    coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (75).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.13- 0.26 in.
Chance of Thunder...42 percent.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Rain showers
                    likely and chance of thunderstorms until 1200,
                    then chance of rain showers.
Max Temperature.....72-77.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........66-71 percent.
   24 HR Trend......38 percent wetter...except 31 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Fair (205).
Mixing Height.......1600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 12 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.10- 0.47 in.
Chance of Thunder...35 percent.


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-180830-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
210 PM EDT Sun Aug 17 2025

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
Min Temperature.....50-55...except 59-64 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......8 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........93-98 percent...except 75-80 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......15 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (37).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Max Temperature.....74-79...except 64-69 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........43-48 percent.
   24 HR Trend......5 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts up
                    to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (459).
Mixing Height.......3300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...1 percent.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent) until 2400, then
                    mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms after 2400.
Min Temperature.....56-61...except 63-68 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........93-98 percent...except 79-84 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged...except 7 percent drier along the
                    coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (69).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.05- 0.28 in.
Chance of Thunder...33 percent.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Rain showers
                    likely until 1200. Chance of thunderstorms.
                    Chance of rain showers after 1200.
Max Temperature.....73-78...except 63-68 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
Min Humidity........69-74 percent.
   24 HR Trend......30 percent wetter...except 25 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (326).
Mixing Height.......1700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.18- 0.70 in.
Chance of Thunder...35 percent.


$$

MIZ020-025>027-180830-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
210 PM EDT Sun Aug 17 2025

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent).
Min Temperature.....53-58...except 63-68 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......6 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........91-96 percent...except 76-81 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......15 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 5 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (54).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers after 1200.
Max Temperature.....79-84.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Min Humidity........40-45 percent.
   24 HR Trend......9 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (400).
Mixing Height.......3000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.09 in .
Chance of Thunder...8 percent.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Chance of
                    showers until 2400, then showers likely and
                    chance of thunderstorms.
Min Temperature.....59-64...except 66-71 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......8 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent...except 85-90 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......7 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (63).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.09- 0.28 in.
Chance of Thunder...44 percent.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of
                    thunderstorms until 1200. Chance of rain
                    showers.
Max Temperature.....73-78...except around 71 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......8 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........73-78 percent.
   24 HR Trend......37 percent wetter...except 29 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Fair (189).
Mixing Height.......1600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 18 mph shifting to the west around
                    12 mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.07- 0.15 in.
Chance of Thunder...37 percent.


$$

MIZ031>033-180830-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
210 PM EDT Sun Aug 17 2025

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent).
Min Temperature.....53-58.
   24 HR Trend......8 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........88-93 percent.
   24 HR Trend......14 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 5 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (50).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Max Temperature.....80-85.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
Min Humidity........38-43 percent.
   24 HR Trend......6 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (501).
Mixing Height.......3500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...8 percent.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers until 2400. Chance of thunderstorms.
                    Rain showers likely after 2400.
Min Temperature.....60-65.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........91-96 percent.
   24 HR Trend......4 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (61).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.09- 0.39 in.
Chance of Thunder...47 percent.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of
                    thunderstorms until 1200. Chance of rain
                    showers.
Max Temperature.....75-80.
   24 HR Trend......6 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........69-74 percent.
   24 HR Trend......34 percent wetter...except 29 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Fair (237).
Mixing Height.......1700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 15 mph shifting to the west in the
                    afternoon.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.07- 0.21 in.
Chance of Thunder...40 percent.


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-180830-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
210 PM EDT Sun Aug 17 2025

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
Min Temperature.....50-55.
   24 HR Trend......10 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........92-97 percent.
   24 HR Trend......8 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (40).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
Max Temperature.....77-82.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........40-45 percent.
   24 HR Trend......4 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (512).
Mixing Height.......4000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...2 percent.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent) until 2400, then
                    mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms after 2400.
Min Temperature.....56-61.
   24 HR Trend......8 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (57).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.08- 0.27 in.
Chance of Thunder...39 percent.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms.
Max Temperature.....74-79.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........73-78 percent.
   24 HR Trend......36 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Fair (203).
Mixing Height.......1600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.10- 0.44 in.
Chance of Thunder...40 percent.


$$

.EXTENDED...

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS AROUND 80.
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
70S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS AROUND 70.
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

ELD