Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI
714
FNUS53 KAPX 131857
FWFAPX
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
257 PM EDT Tue May 13 2025
.DISCUSSION...Still warm and relatively humid conditions are
anticipated over the next few days. Spotty showers and thunderstorms
are expected as well from time to time, but the overall coverage
will be low. The most widespread rainfall looks to be Thursday
night. Winds the next few days will not be especially strong, and
mainly out of the southeast. Coastal locations can expect daily
onshore lake breezes to finish the week.
MIZ016-017-021>023-099-140815-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
257 PM EDT Tue May 13 2025
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Chance of rain
showers until 2400.
Min Temperature.....54-59.
24 HR Trend......5 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........93-98 percent...except 84-89 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......20 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (59).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 9 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.03 in .
Chance of Thunder...10 percent.
.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Slight chance of
rain showers until 1200Chance of rain showers
after 1200.
Max Temperature.....71-76...except 58-63 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......6 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........52-57 percent.
24 HR Trend......12 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Fair (289).
Mixing Height.......2400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.05 in .
Chance of Thunder...7 percent.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent).
Min Temperature.....53-58.
24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler.
Max Humidity........91-96 percent.
24 HR Trend......1 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph in the evening
becoming light. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (29).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .
Chance of Thunder...7 percent.
.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent).
Max Temperature.....75-80...except 61-66 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........48-53 percent.
24 HR Trend......7 percent drier...except 2 percent drier along
the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (482).
Mixing Height.......3400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 9 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...7 percent.
$$
MIZ018-024-030-036-042-140815-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
257 PM EDT Tue May 13 2025
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Slight chance of
rain showers.
Min Temperature.....53-58.
24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........92-97 percent.
24 HR Trend......22 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (54).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.07 in .
Chance of Thunder...7 percent.
.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Slight chance of
rain showers.
Max Temperature.....68-73...except 49-54 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......8 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........59-64 percent.
24 HR Trend......13 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Fair (132).
Mixing Height.......1200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.05 in .
Chance of Thunder...5 percent.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent).
Min Temperature.....51-56.
24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........91-96 percent.
24 HR Trend......2 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 5 mph in the evening becoming
light. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (25).
Mixing Height.......300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.07 in .
Chance of Thunder...9 percent.
.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent).
Max Temperature.....75-80...except 51-56 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........52-57 percent.
24 HR Trend......7 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (308).
Mixing Height.......2400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...6 percent.
$$
MIZ020-025>027-140815-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
257 PM EDT Tue May 13 2025
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of rain
showers and slight chance of thunderstorms
until 2400Slight chance of rain showers after
2400.
Min Temperature.....55-60.
24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........93-98 percent...except 84-89 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......24 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (31).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.03 in .
Chance of Thunder...23 percent.
.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Slight chance of
rain showers.
Max Temperature.....70-75...except 47-52 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........57-62 percent.
24 HR Trend......6 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
gusts up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Fair (197).
Mixing Height.......2300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.37 in .
Chance of Thunder...11 percent.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent).
Min Temperature.....53-58.
24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler.
Max Humidity........91-96 percent.
24 HR Trend......2 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph in the evening
becoming light.
Vent Rate...........Poor (28).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.26 in .
Chance of Thunder...11 percent.
.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent).
Max Temperature.....78-83...except 52-57 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......7 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........48-53 percent.
24 HR Trend......10 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (629).
Mixing Height.......4000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 9 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...6 percent.
$$
MIZ031>033-140815-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
257 PM EDT Tue May 13 2025
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain
showers and slight chance of thunderstorms
until 2400, then slight chance of rain showers.
Min Temperature.....56-61.
24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........92-97 percent.
24 HR Trend......27 percent wetter...except 18 percent wetter
along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (33).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.08 in .
Chance of Thunder...24 percent.
.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Slight chance of
rain showers. Slight chance of thunderstorms
after 1200.
Max Temperature.....71-76...except 61-66 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........58-63 percent.
24 HR Trend......4 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
gusts up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Fair (186).
Mixing Height.......2300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.29 in .
Chance of Thunder...14 percent.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent). Chance of rain
showers until 2400.
Min Temperature.....54-59.
24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........91-96 percent.
24 HR Trend......7 percent drier...except 3 percent wetter along
the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph in the evening
becoming light.
Vent Rate...........Poor (30).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.28 in .
Chance of Thunder...14 percent.
.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent).
Max Temperature.....80-85...except 69-74 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......8 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........46-51 percent.
24 HR Trend......11 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (842).
Mixing Height.......4700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 9 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...7 percent.
$$
MIZ028-029-034-035-041-140815-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
257 PM EDT Tue May 13 2025
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain
showers until 2400. Slight chance of
thunderstorms. Slight chance of rain showers
after 2400.
Min Temperature.....55-60.
24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent.
24 HR Trend......20 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (49).
Mixing Height.......600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East 9 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.06 in .
Chance of Thunder...17 percent.
.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Slight chance of
rain showers until 1200, then chance of rain
showers.
Max Temperature.....68-73.
24 HR Trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........57-62 percent.
24 HR Trend......8 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Fair (166).
Mixing Height.......1900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.10 in .
Chance of Thunder...9 percent.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Chance of rain
showers until 2400.
Min Temperature.....54-59.
24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent.
24 HR Trend......2 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph in the evening
becoming light.
Vent Rate...........Poor (27).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.48 in .
Chance of Thunder...11 percent.
.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent).
Max Temperature.....76-81.
24 HR Trend......7 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........47-52 percent.
24 HR Trend......9 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (549).
Mixing Height.......3800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.02 in .
Chance of Thunder...9 percent.
$$
.EXTENDED...
.FRIDAY...SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID
50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...COOLER. MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS AROUND 60.
NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
$$
PBB