Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI

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831
FNUS53 KAPX 280902
FWFAPX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
502 AM EDT Sat Jun 28 2025

...Chance for showers and storms returns late tonight...

.DISCUSSION...Low pressure north of Lake Huron is moving east
toward Quebec. Cloud cover will decrease today, and except for some
early morning drizzle, no precipitation is expected. However, a
chance for showers and thunderstorms will return to northwest
and north central lower Michigan late tonight and Sunday morning.
Showers and storms are likely late Sunday night into Monday, and
strong storms and locally heavy rain are possible then.

West to northwest winds will gust to 15 to 20 mph today, with
breezier winds the further north you go. The dryer spots will see
humidity values lower to around 40 percent, with mixing heights
around 3500 feet. Sunday will be warmer and somewhat more humid,
with a light southwest breeze.


MIZ016-017-021>023-099-282200-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
502 AM EDT Sat Jun 28 2025

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) until 1200, then
                    mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
Max Temperature.....74-79...except 60-65 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......7 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........40-45 percent...except 49-54 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......15 percent drier...except 8 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (426).
Mixing Height.......2700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West around 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers and slight chance of thunderstorms
                    after 2400.
Min Temperature.....55-60.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Max Humidity........87-92 percent...except 75-80 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......6 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph in the evening becoming
                    light.
Vent Rate...........Poor (19).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West around 6 mph shifting to the southwest
                    after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.14 in .
Chance of Thunder...11 percent.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers.
Max Temperature.....88-93...except around 80 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......16 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........42-47 percent.
   24 HR Trend......4 percent drier...except 11 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (556).
Mixing Height.......3400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 12 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.07 in .
Chance of Thunder...24 percent.


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-282200-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
502 AM EDT Sat Jun 28 2025

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent).
Max Temperature.....77-82...except 63-68 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......8 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........38-43 percent.
   24 HR Trend......19 percent drier...except 9 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (571).
Mixing Height.......3400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 15 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent).
Min Temperature.....55-60.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........91-96 percent.
   24 HR Trend......3 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (14).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 6 mph shifting to the
                    southwest after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...4 percent.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Chance of
                    thunderstorms after 1200.
Max Temperature.....89-94...except around 80 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......13 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........41-46 percent.
   24 HR Trend......4 percent wetter...except 2 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph .
Vent Rate...........Good (573).
Mixing Height.......4000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 9 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.09 in .
Chance of Thunder...26 percent.


$$

MIZ020-025>027-282200-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
502 AM EDT Sat Jun 28 2025

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent).
Max Temperature.....74-79...except around 61 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees cooler...except 9 degrees cooler near
                    the coast.
Min Humidity........39-44 percent.
   24 HR Trend......21 percent drier...except 9 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (306).
Mixing Height.......2900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers and slight chance of thunderstorms
                    after 2400.
Min Temperature.....56-61.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........86-91 percent...except 75-80 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......13 percent drier...except 2 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds.
Vent Rate...........Poor (14).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West around 6 mph shifting to the south after
                    midnight.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.01- 0.15 in.
Chance of Thunder...20 percent.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers.
Max Temperature.....87-92...except around 70 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......14 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........42-47 percent.
   24 HR Trend......2 percent wetter...except 5 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (651).
Mixing Height.......3700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 12 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.08 in .
Chance of Thunder...19 percent.


$$

MIZ031>033-282200-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
502 AM EDT Sat Jun 28 2025

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent).
Max Temperature.....75-80...except 64-69 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler...except 8 degrees cooler near
                    the coast.
Min Humidity........38-43 percent...except 53-58 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......24 percent drier...except 16 percent drier
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (372).
Mixing Height.......3400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms after 2400.
Min Temperature.....57-62.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........84-89 percent.
   24 HR Trend......10 percent drier...except 1 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph in the evening becoming
                    light.
Vent Rate...........Poor (14).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West around 6 mph shifting to the south after
                    midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.10 in .
Chance of Thunder...15 percent.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Max Temperature.....87-92...except around 80 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......12 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........42-47 percent.
   24 HR Trend......5 percent wetter...except 2 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (772).
Mixing Height.......4400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 12 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.17 in .
Chance of Thunder...18 percent.


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-282200-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
502 AM EDT Sat Jun 28 2025

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent).
Max Temperature.....78-83.
   24 HR Trend......6 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........38-43 percent.
   24 HR Trend......21 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (552).
Mixing Height.......3900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (20-30 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers after 2400.
Min Temperature.....55-60.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
Max Humidity........91-96 percent.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Vent Rate...........Poor (12).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 6 mph shifting to the
                    southwest after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.09 in .
Chance of Thunder...7 percent.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Max Temperature.....88-93.
   24 HR Trend......12 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........42-47 percent.
   24 HR Trend......4 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph .
Vent Rate...........Excellent (868).
Mixing Height.......5400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 9 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.19 in .
Chance of Thunder...17 percent.


$$

.EXTENDED...

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS
IN THE LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
80S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.INDEPENDENCE DAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

JZ