276
FNUS53 KAPX 221914
FWFAPX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
314 PM EDT Thu May 22 2025

...Continued cool and showery Friday...

.DISCUSSION...Northerly flow around low pressure over New England
will continue to pull clouds and cool air into Michigan
Friday...along with occasional light rain showers. High
temperatures in some areas will struggle to reach 50
degrees...which is 15 to 20 degrees below normal for the third
week of May. Trend heading into the holiday weekend is a bit drier
but can`t rule out a stray shower Saturday or Sunday especially
during the afternoon. Temperatures will moderate a bit each day
but likely to remain below normal through Sunday.

MIZ016-017-021>023-099-230830-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
314 PM EDT Thu May 22 2025

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain.
Min Temperature.....36-41.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........89-94 percent.
   24 HR Trend......7 percent wetter...except 13 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 27 mph.
Vent Rate...........Fair (238).
Mixing Height.......1300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.04 in .
Chance of Thunder...1 percent.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of rain.
Max Temperature.....48-53.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged...except 5 degrees cooler near the
                    coast.
Min Humidity........63-68 percent.
   24 HR Trend......13 percent wetter...except 20 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 27 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (354).
Mixing Height.......1900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.07 in .
Chance of Thunder...4 percent.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of rain
                    until 2400.
Min Temperature.....37-42.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
Max Humidity........92-97 percent.
   24 HR Trend......5 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (94).
Mixing Height.......900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.02 in .
Chance of Thunder...2 percent.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent).
Max Temperature.....54-59...except around 50 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........49-54 percent.
   24 HR Trend......16 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (468).
Mixing Height.......3300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...6 percent.


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-230830-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
314 PM EDT Thu May 22 2025

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Chance of rain.
Min Temperature.....38-43.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........87-92 percent...except 77-82 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......11 percent drier...except 3 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 27 mph.
Vent Rate...........Fair (166).
Mixing Height.......1000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.08 in .
Chance of Thunder...2 percent.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain.
Max Temperature.....49-54.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Min Humidity........66-71 percent.
   24 HR Trend......4 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (429).
Mixing Height.......2200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.08 in .
Chance of Thunder...4 percent.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent). Chance of rain
                    until 2400.
Min Temperature.....38-43.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
Max Humidity........92-97 percent...except 81-86 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (114).
Mixing Height.......900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.02 in .
Chance of Thunder...3 percent.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent).
Max Temperature.....57-62...except around 51 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......7 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........46-51 percent.
   24 HR Trend......20 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (513).
Mixing Height.......3800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .
Chance of Thunder...7 percent.


$$

MIZ020-025>027-230830-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
314 PM EDT Thu May 22 2025

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (45-55 percent).
Min Temperature.....36-41.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........87-92 percent...except 77-82 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......9 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 27 mph.
Vent Rate...........Fair (130).
Mixing Height.......800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 18 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain.
Max Temperature.....46-51.
   24 HR Trend......6 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........68-73 percent.
   24 HR Trend......18 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 27 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (384).
Mixing Height.......1900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.03 in .
Chance of Thunder...4 percent.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Chance of rain
                    until 2400.
Min Temperature.....35-40.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
Max Humidity........92-97 percent...except 81-86 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......7 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (93).
Mixing Height.......800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 12 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...1 percent.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent).
Max Temperature.....52-57...except 43-48 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........49-54 percent.
   24 HR Trend......16 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (453).
Mixing Height.......3200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...4 percent.


$$

MIZ031>033-230830-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
314 PM EDT Thu May 22 2025

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
Min Temperature.....35-40.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........85-90 percent.
   24 HR Trend......12 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 27 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (117).
Mixing Height.......800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 15 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain.
Max Temperature.....46-51.
   24 HR Trend......7 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........63-68 percent.
   24 HR Trend......16 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (451).
Mixing Height.......2200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .
Chance of Thunder...4 percent.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent) until 2400, then
                    partly cloudy (45-55 percent).
Min Temperature.....34-39.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent...except 84-89 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......10 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (114).
Mixing Height.......900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 12 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...1 percent.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Max Temperature.....54-59.
   24 HR Trend......8 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........44-49 percent...except 55-60 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......17 percent drier...except 12 percent drier
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (528).
Mixing Height.......3700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...4 percent.


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-230830-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
314 PM EDT Thu May 22 2025

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain until 2400.
Min Temperature.....36-41.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........87-92 percent.
   24 HR Trend......7 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 27 mph.
Vent Rate...........Fair (159).
Mixing Height.......1000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 15 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.02 in .
Chance of Thunder...1 percent.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain.
Max Temperature.....48-53.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........63-68 percent.
   24 HR Trend......9 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (487).
Mixing Height.......2400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.03 in .
Chance of Thunder...4 percent.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent). Chance of rain
                    until 2400.
Min Temperature.....35-40.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler.
Max Humidity........92-97 percent.
   24 HR Trend......6 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Fair (140).
Mixing Height.......1000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 15 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .
Chance of Thunder...2 percent.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent).
Max Temperature.....56-61.
   24 HR Trend......8 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........45-50 percent.
   24 HR Trend......20 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (558).
Mixing Height.......4000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...8 percent.

$$

.EXTENDED...

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS AROUND 60.
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MEMORIAL DAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN
THE MID 60S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

JPB