487
FNUS53 KAPX 231843
FWFAPX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
243 PM EDT Sat Aug 23 2025

.DISCUSSION...Persistent west to northwest winds are expected into
the middle of next week. These winds will bring notably cooler
temperatures into northern Michigan to start next week. These colder
conditions will produce scattered lake effect rain showers as well.
Look for winds to become diurnally gusty, and afternoon mixing
heights generally excellent the next couple of days.


MIZ016-017-021>023-099-240830-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
243 PM EDT Sat Aug 23 2025

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent). Scattered rain
                    showers.
Min Temperature.....53-58...except around 61 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......10 degrees cooler...except 5 degrees cooler
                    near the coast.
Max Humidity........93-98 percent...except 76-81 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......10 percent wetter...except 10 percent drier
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (33).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 9 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.05 in .
Chance of Thunder...12 percent.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (65-75 percent). Numerous rain
                    showers. Scattered thunderstorms after 1200.
Max Temperature.....62-67.
   24 HR Trend......8 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........63-68 percent.
   24 HR Trend......12 percent wetter...except 3 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts up
                    to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (646).
Mixing Height.......3500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 12 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.06- 0.43 in.
Chance of Thunder...33 percent.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers.
Min Temperature.....49-54.
   24 HR Trend......6 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........93-98 percent...except 81-86 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (83).
Mixing Height.......600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.04- 0.18 in.
Chance of Thunder...23 percent.

.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers.
Max Temperature.....62-67...except 54-59 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler.
Min Humidity........45-50 percent.
   24 HR Trend......17 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 27 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (1060).
Mixing Height.......5100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 15 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.15 in .
Chance of Thunder...8 percent.


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-240830-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
243 PM EDT Sat Aug 23 2025

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Isolated showers
                    and thunderstorms until 2400.
Min Temperature.....53-58.
   24 HR Trend......9 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........93-98 percent...except 79-84 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......13 percent wetter...except unchanged along the
                    coast.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (32).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 9 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.03 in .
Chance of Thunder...15 percent.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Scattered rain
                    showers. Scattered thunderstorms after 1200.
Max Temperature.....67-72.
   24 HR Trend......11 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........55-60 percent.
   24 HR Trend......13 percent wetter...except 18 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts up
                    to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (597).
Mixing Height.......4000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 9 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.25 in .
Chance of Thunder...33 percent.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent) until 2400, then
                    partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Numerous rain
                    showers and scattered thunderstorms until 2400.
Min Temperature.....46-51...except 54-59 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent...except 84-89 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged...except 7 percent wetter along the
                    coast.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (75).
Mixing Height.......600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.09 in .
Chance of Thunder...29 percent.

.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers until 1200.
Max Temperature.....64-69...except around 61 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler.
Min Humidity........47-52 percent.
   24 HR Trend......11 percent drier...except 16 percent drier
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 27 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (1085).
Mixing Height.......5600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 15 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.03 in .
Chance of Thunder...10 percent.


$$

MIZ020-025>027-240830-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
243 PM EDT Sat Aug 23 2025

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent). Isolated rain
                    showers until 2400Scattered rain showers after
                    2400.
Min Temperature.....54-59...except 62-67 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......8 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........91-96 percent...except 73-78 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged...except 13 percent drier along the
                    coast.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (50).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 9 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.04 in .
Chance of Thunder...11 percent.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Scattered rain
                    showers until 1200, then numerous rain showers
                    and scattered thunderstorms.
Max Temperature.....61-66.
   24 HR Trend......7 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........63-68 percent.
   24 HR Trend......9 percent wetter...except 4 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts up
                    to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (672).
Mixing Height.......3700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 12 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.04- 0.21 in.
Chance of Thunder...35 percent.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Numerous rain
                    showers until 2400, then chance of rain
                    showers.
Min Temperature.....48-53...except 57-62 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent...except 82-87 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged...except 9 percent wetter along the
                    coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (107).
Mixing Height.......800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.06- 0.22 in.
Chance of Thunder...25 percent.

.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers.
Max Temperature.....63-68.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........52-57 percent.
   24 HR Trend......12 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 27 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (907).
Mixing Height.......5100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 15 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.04- 0.16 in.
Chance of Thunder...11 percent.


$$

MIZ031>033-240830-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
243 PM EDT Sat Aug 23 2025

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent) until 2400, then
                    mostly cloudy (50-60 percent).
Min Temperature.....55-60.
   24 HR Trend......8 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........91-96 percent...except 79-84 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged...except 13 percent drier along the
                    coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (33).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .
Chance of Thunder...6 percent.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (65-75 percent). Scattered rain
                    showers. Scattered thunderstorms after 1200.
Max Temperature.....63-68.
   24 HR Trend......8 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........58-63 percent.
   24 HR Trend......5 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts up
                    to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (734).
Mixing Height.......3900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 9 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.02- 0.11 in.
Chance of Thunder...33 percent.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent) until 2400, then
                    partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Scattered
                    thunderstorms until 2400. Chance of rain
                    showers.
Min Temperature.....47-52...except 54-59 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged...except 13 percent wetter along the
                    coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (82).
Mixing Height.......700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.03- 0.23 in.
Chance of Thunder...26 percent.

.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers.
Max Temperature.....63-68.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........48-53 percent.
   24 HR Trend......9 percent drier...except 14 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (971).
Mixing Height.......5600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 12 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.04- 0.14 in.
Chance of Thunder...11 percent.


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-240830-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
243 PM EDT Sat Aug 23 2025

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent).
Min Temperature.....51-56.
   24 HR Trend......9 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........93-98 percent.
   24 HR Trend......9 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Vent Rate...........Poor (29).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 6 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.02 in .
Chance of Thunder...8 percent.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Scattered rain
                    showers. Scattered thunderstorms after 1200.
Max Temperature.....66-71.
   24 HR Trend......11 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........51-56 percent.
   24 HR Trend......12 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts up
                    to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (672).
Mixing Height.......3900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 9 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.18 in .
Chance of Thunder...32 percent.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Scattered
                    thunderstorms until 2400.
Min Temperature.....46-51.
   24 HR Trend......6 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (79).
Mixing Height.......600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.11 in .
Chance of Thunder...26 percent.

.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers.
Max Temperature.....63-68.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........50-55 percent.
   24 HR Trend......11 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (1003).
Mixing Height.......5400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 15 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.14 in .
Chance of Thunder...9 percent.


$$

.EXTENDED...

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 70S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

PBB