185
FNUS53 KAPX 051906
FWFAPX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
306 PM EDT Thu Jun 5 2025

...QUIET AND GENERALLY DRY WEATHER CONTINUES...

.DISCUSSION...
High pressure remains in control through most of the next couple
days...with prevailing generally NE flow light enough (5mph or less)
to allow for lake breezes during the afternoons. A few more mid/high
clouds around on Friday as a weak system passes by...with a sprinkle
or two; afternoon wind gusts around 15-20mph possible.
Overall...conditions very similar for the next couple days...with
afternoon RHs dropping into the 25-30 percent range again
Friday...and mixing heights again in the 6-8kft range across the
interior...perhaps a little lower closer to Lake Michigan. While
things should slowly start to moisten up Saturday as flow becomes
more S/SE...not impossible the dry air mass in place remains more
persistent...and could keep RHs on the lower side for yet another day.

MIZ016-017-021>023-099-060815-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
306 PM EDT Thu Jun 5 2025

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent) until 2400, then
                    mostly cloudy (50-60 percent).
Min Temperature.....51-56.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........70-75 percent...except 61-66 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......36 percent drier...except 20 percent drier
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds.
Vent Rate...........Poor (10).
Mixing Height.......300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast around 6 mph shifting to the south
                    around 3 mph after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent).
Max Temperature.....74-79...except 57-62 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........28-33 percent...except 40-45 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......4 percent wetter...except 12 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming north around 5 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Fair (228).
Mixing Height.......4400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 3 to 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .
Chance of Thunder...2 percent.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
Min Temperature.....43-48.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........81-86 percent...except 72-77 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......22 percent wetter...except 9 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Vent Rate...........Poor (28).
Mixing Height.......300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .
Chance of Thunder...1 percent.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Max Temperature.....72-77...except 59-64 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler.
Min Humidity........28-33 percent.
   24 HR Trend......4 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming northeast around 5 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Fair (293).
Mixing Height.......4800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...1 percent.


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-060815-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
306 PM EDT Thu Jun 5 2025

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent) until 2400, then
                    mostly cloudy (50-60 percent).
Min Temperature.....47-52.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler.
Max Humidity........74-79 percent...except 64-69 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......24 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds.
Vent Rate...........Poor (10).
Mixing Height.......300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East around 6 mph shifting to the northwest
                    around 3 mph after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent).
Max Temperature.....74-79...except 58-63 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
Min Humidity........29-34 percent.
   24 HR Trend......2 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming northeast around 5 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Fair (286).
Mixing Height.......4200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...4 percent.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
Min Temperature.....47-52.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
Max Humidity........79-84 percent...except 66-71 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (57).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...1 percent.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Max Temperature.....71-76...except around 61 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........31-36 percent.
   24 HR Trend......3 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (371).
Mixing Height.......4400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...2 percent.


$$

MIZ020-025>027-060815-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
306 PM EDT Thu Jun 5 2025

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent) until 2400, then
                    mostly cloudy (60-70 percent).
Min Temperature.....51-56.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........74-79 percent.
   24 HR Trend......27 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Vent Rate...........Poor (15).
Mixing Height.......300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast around 6 mph shifting to the
                    southeast after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...1 percent.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) until 1200, then
                    mostly sunny (45-55 percent).
Max Temperature.....72-77...except 53-58 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........29-34 percent...except 38-43 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 percent wetter...except 8 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming north around 5 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Fair (196).
Mixing Height.......3300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 3 mph shifting to the north
                    around 6 mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .
Chance of Thunder...2 percent.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent).
Min Temperature.....45-50.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........83-88 percent.
   24 HR Trend......13 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Vent Rate...........Poor (24).
Mixing Height.......300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .
Chance of Thunder...2 percent.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
Max Temperature.....71-76...except 54-59 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler.
Min Humidity........28-33 percent.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming northeast around 5 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Fair (259).
Mixing Height.......4000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...2 percent.


$$

MIZ031>033-060815-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
306 PM EDT Thu Jun 5 2025

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent) until 2400, then
                    mostly cloudy (55-65 percent).
Min Temperature.....52-57.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........66-71 percent.
   24 HR Trend......31 percent drier...except 26 percent drier
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Vent Rate...........Poor (16).
Mixing Height.......300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast around 9 mph shifting to the
                    southeast around 6 mph after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...1 percent.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent).
Max Temperature.....74-79...except 64-69 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler.
Min Humidity........29-34 percent...except 38-43 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming north around 5 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Fair (277).
Mixing Height.......4500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East around 3 mph shifting to the north around
                    6 mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...4 percent.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
Min Temperature.....45-50.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........81-86 percent.
   24 HR Trend......14 percent wetter...except 9 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Vent Rate...........Poor (38).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...2 percent.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Max Temperature.....73-78...except 64-69 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler.
Min Humidity........28-33 percent...except 39-44 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (314).
Mixing Height.......5600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...2 percent.


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-060815-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
306 PM EDT Thu Jun 5 2025

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent) until 2400, then
                    mostly cloudy (50-60 percent).
Min Temperature.....47-52.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler.
Max Humidity........68-73 percent.
   24 HR Trend......27 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 5 mph in the evening becoming
                    light.
Vent Rate...........Poor (11).
Mixing Height.......300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East 3 to 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent).
Max Temperature.....74-79.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler.
Min Humidity........27-32 percent.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming east around 5 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Good (338).
Mixing Height.......5600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.02 in .
Chance of Thunder...5 percent.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
Min Temperature.....46-51.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
Max Humidity........74-79 percent.
   24 HR Trend......5 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Vent Rate...........Poor (50).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .
Chance of Thunder...2 percent.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Max Temperature.....73-78.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........28-33 percent.
   24 HR Trend......2 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (400).
Mixing Height.......6300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...2 percent.


$$

.EXTENDED...

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 60S. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

FEF