715
FNUS53 KAPX 010623
FWFAPX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
223 AM EDT Fri Aug 1 2025

...Extended stretch of rain-free weather underway...

.DISCUSSION...High pressure expected to remain in control for the
next several days, resulting in rain-free weather right through much
of next week. Aggressive low level drying expected today, dropping
relative humidity values near to below 40 percent across most
interior areas this afternoon. Good rh recovery tonight, with again
aggressive low level drying expected both Saturday and Sunday. Sub-
critical level winds largely expected through this weekend, with
local afternoon lake breeze development anticipated. Afternoon
mixing heights will increase today through the weekend, especially
across those interior areas.

MIZ016-017-021>023-099-012015-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
223 AM EDT Fri Aug 1 2025

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent). Patchy smoke
                    until 1200, then areas of smoke.
Max Temperature.....74-79...except 64-69 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........34-39 percent.
   24 HR Trend......5 percent drier...except unchanged along the
                    coast.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (496).
Mixing Height.......6100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent). Areas of smoke.
Min Temperature.....52-57...except around 61 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......6 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........88-93 percent.
   24 HR Trend......10 percent drier...except 3 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Vent Rate...........Poor (19).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 6 mph shifting to the
                    southwest after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Areas of smoke.
Max Temperature.....78-83...except 69-74 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........37-42 percent.
   24 HR Trend......4 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (674).
Mixing Height.......5000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-012015-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
223 AM EDT Fri Aug 1 2025

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Patchy smoke
                    until 1200, then areas of smoke.
Max Temperature.....73-78...except 62-67 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........36-41 percent.
   24 HR Trend......3 percent drier...except 8 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (484).
Mixing Height.......6500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...1 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent). Areas of smoke.
Min Temperature.....49-54...except 59-64 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........88-93 percent...except 70-75 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......10 percent drier...except 5 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                    west after midnight.
Vent Rate...........Poor (17).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast around 6 mph shifting to the west
                    after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...1 percent.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Areas of smoke.
Max Temperature.....79-84...except 70-75 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......7 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........36-41 percent.
   24 HR Trend......3 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (754).
Mixing Height.......6700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...1 percent.


$$

MIZ020-025>027-012015-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
223 AM EDT Fri Aug 1 2025

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent). Patchy smoke until 1200,
                    then areas of smoke.
Max Temperature.....73-78...except around 70 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Min Humidity........36-41 percent.
   24 HR Trend......7 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (532).
Mixing Height.......5600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent). Areas of smoke.
Min Temperature.....49-54...except 66-71 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........89-94 percent...except 77-82 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Vent Rate...........Poor (13).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 6 mph shifting to the southwest
                    around 3 mph after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Areas of smoke.
Max Temperature.....77-82...except 69-74 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........38-43 percent.
   24 HR Trend......3 percent wetter...except 9 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (345).
Mixing Height.......5000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.


$$

MIZ031>033-012015-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
223 AM EDT Fri Aug 1 2025

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent). Patchy smoke until 1200,
                    then areas of smoke.
Max Temperature.....74-79.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Min Humidity........34-39 percent.
   24 HR Trend......9 percent drier...except 4 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (570).
Mixing Height.......6200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent). Areas of smoke.
Min Temperature.....48-53...except 56-61 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........88-93 percent.
   24 HR Trend......4 percent drier...except 1 percent wetter along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Vent Rate...........Poor (12).
Mixing Height.......300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 6 mph shifting to the east around
                    3 mph after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Areas of smoke.
Max Temperature.....78-83.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........36-41 percent.
   24 HR Trend......2 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming northwest around 5 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Good (359).
Mixing Height.......6100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West around 6 mph shifting to the northwest in
                    the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-012015-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
223 AM EDT Fri Aug 1 2025

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Patchy smoke
                    until 1200, then areas of smoke.
Max Temperature.....72-77.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........34-39 percent.
   24 HR Trend......10 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (531).
Mixing Height.......7400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent). Areas of smoke.
Min Temperature.....47-52.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........90-95 percent.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Vent Rate...........Poor (15).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast around 6 mph shifting to the west
                    after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Areas of smoke.
Max Temperature.....77-82.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........36-41 percent.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (473).
Mixing Height.......7300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...1 percent.


$$

.EXTENDED...

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. AREAS OF SMOKE IN THE EVENING. LOWS IN
THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
80S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID
80S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

MSB