891
FNUS53 KAPX 170711
FWFAPX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
311 AM EDT Sat May 17 2025

...Cooler and much more damp this weekend...

.Discussion...Temperatures will cool to below normal this weekend,
and when combined with better low level moisture, will keep
relatively humidity levels well above critical levels. Will see some
scattered mostly light showers at times today, with rain-free
weather returning for Sunday. Winds will be gusty at times,
initially out of the southwest and west today...veering northwest
with time tonight and Sunday. While still remaining relatively cool,
moisture profiles begin to thin substantially both Monday and
Tuesday.

MIZ016-017-021>023-099-172100-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
311 AM EDT Sat May 17 2025

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Scattered rain
                    showers.
Max Temperature.....56-61...except 48-53 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......24 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........64-69 percent.
   24 HR Trend......45 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 27 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (415).
Mixing Height.......2200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 15 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.04- 0.20 in.
Chance of Thunder...18 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Scattered rain
                    showers until 2400, then isolated rain showers.
Min Temperature.....41-46.
   24 HR Trend......8 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........91-96 percent.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 10 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 27 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (119).
Mixing Height.......700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 15 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.05 in .
Chance of Thunder...3 percent.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent).
Max Temperature.....50-55...except 41-46 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......6 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........53-58 percent.
   24 HR Trend......11 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (338).
Mixing Height.......2700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...2 percent.


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-172100-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
311 AM EDT Sat May 17 2025

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Scattered rain showers.
Max Temperature.....56-61.
   24 HR Trend......21 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........62-67 percent.
   24 HR Trend......43 percent wetter...except 36 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 27 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (515).
Mixing Height.......2700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 15 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.03- 0.21 in.
Chance of Thunder...17 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Scattered rain
                    showers until 2400, then isolated rain showers.
Min Temperature.....44-49.
   24 HR Trend......9 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........88-93 percent.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 10 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 27 mph.
Vent Rate...........Fair (160).
Mixing Height.......900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.02 in .
Chance of Thunder...7 percent.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent).
Max Temperature.....55-60...except 43-48 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........53-58 percent.
   24 HR Trend......11 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (374).
Mixing Height.......2900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 12 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...3 percent.


$$

MIZ020-025>027-172100-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
311 AM EDT Sat May 17 2025

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Scattered rain
                    showers.
Max Temperature.....54-59...except 44-49 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......25 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........69-74 percent.
   24 HR Trend......45 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 10 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 27 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (400).
Mixing Height.......2100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West around 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.02- 0.11 in.
Chance of Thunder...6 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Scattered rain
                    showers until 2400, then isolated rain showers.
Min Temperature.....39-44.
   24 HR Trend......8 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........91-96 percent...except 82-87 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 27 mph.
Vent Rate...........Fair (148).
Mixing Height.......900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.04 in .
Chance of Thunder...3 percent.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent).
Max Temperature.....48-53...except 39-44 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......8 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........60-65 percent.
   24 HR Trend......9 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (329).
Mixing Height.......2200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...1 percent.


$$

MIZ031>033-172100-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
311 AM EDT Sat May 17 2025

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Scattered rain
                    showers.
Max Temperature.....54-59.
   24 HR Trend......24 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........69-74 percent.
   24 HR Trend......44 percent wetter...except 38 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 10 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 27 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (491).
Mixing Height.......2400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West around 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.10 in .
Chance of Thunder...7 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Scattered rain
                    showers until 2400, then isolated rain showers.
Min Temperature.....39-44.
   24 HR Trend......8 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........89-94 percent.
   24 HR Trend......3 percent wetter...except 4 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 27 mph.
Vent Rate...........Fair (151).
Mixing Height.......900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.03 in .
Chance of Thunder...2 percent.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent).
Max Temperature.....51-56...except 43-48 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......6 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........56-61 percent...except 65-70 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......11 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (356).
Mixing Height.......2500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...1 percent.


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-172100-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
311 AM EDT Sat May 17 2025

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Scattered rain showers.
Max Temperature.....55-60.
   24 HR Trend......23 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........67-72 percent.
   24 HR Trend......43 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 10 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 27 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (605).
Mixing Height.......3000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 18 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.02- 0.20 in.
Chance of Thunder...11 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Scattered rain
                    showers until 2400, then isolated rain showers.
Min Temperature.....42-47.
   24 HR Trend......8 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........90-95 percent.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 10 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 27 mph.
Vent Rate...........Fair (196).
Mixing Height.......1000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 18 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.02 in .
Chance of Thunder...5 percent.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent).
Max Temperature.....56-61.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........54-59 percent.
   24 HR Trend......11 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (379).
Mixing Height.......3200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...3 percent.


$$

.EXTENDED...

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. AREAS OF FROST AFTER MIDNIGHT. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS AROUND 60. NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.

$$

MSB