601
FNUS53 KAPX 311851
FWFAPX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
251 PM EDT Sun Aug 31 2025

...Precipitation-free weather continues through the weekend...

.DISCUSSION...

Precipitation-free and overall quiet weather will continue through
Labor day with high temperatures in the mid to upper 70s. RH values
will remain above critical thresholds, but afternoon mixing could
drop min RHs to the mid 30s for parts of interior northern Michigan.
Light winds are expected to continue with variable directions due to
inland penetrating lake breeze processes. No precipitation is
expected until chances return midweek.


MIZ016-017-021>023-099-010815-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
251 PM EDT Sun Aug 31 2025

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
Min Temperature.....47-52...except 55-60 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds.
Vent Rate...........Poor (20).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast around 6 mph shifting to the south
                    after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...2 percent.

.LABOR DAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent).
Max Temperature.....76-81...except 67-72 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Min Humidity........33-38 percent...except 47-52 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......11 percent drier...except 5 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming southwest around 5 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Fair (207).
Mixing Height.......5100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 3 to 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...3 percent.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent).
Min Temperature.....53-58.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........88-93 percent.
   24 HR Trend......9 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds.
Vent Rate...........Poor (28).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East around 6 mph shifting to the south around
                    9 mph after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...3 percent.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
Max Temperature.....76-81...except 67-72 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
Min Humidity........37-42 percent...except 48-53 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......11 percent wetter...except 5 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming west around 5 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Good (453).
Mixing Height.......5700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...9 percent.


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-010815-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
251 PM EDT Sun Aug 31 2025

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (20-30 percent).
Min Temperature.....45-50...except 54-59 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent.
   24 HR Trend......4 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Vent Rate...........Poor (20).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...2 percent.

.LABOR DAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Max Temperature.....75-80...except around 70 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Min Humidity........37-42 percent.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming southeast around 5 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Fair (282).
Mixing Height.......4600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...4 percent.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
Min Temperature.....49-54...except 57-62 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........93-98 percent...except 76-81 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......4 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Vent Rate...........Poor (27).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...4 percent.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
Max Temperature.....76-81...except around 71 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........35-40 percent.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming south around 5 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Good (475).
Mixing Height.......6200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...9 percent.


$$

MIZ020-025>027-010815-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
251 PM EDT Sun Aug 31 2025

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent).
Min Temperature.....47-52...except around 60 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......7 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds.
Vent Rate...........Poor (20).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 6 mph shifting to the southeast
                    after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...1 percent.

.LABOR DAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent).
Max Temperature.....76-81...except around 70 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Min Humidity........35-40 percent.
   24 HR Trend......2 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds.
Vent Rate...........Fair (202).
Mixing Height.......5100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 3 to 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...2 percent.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
Min Temperature.....49-54...except 63-68 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........91-96 percent...except 82-87 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......6 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds.
Vent Rate...........Poor (21).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast around 6 mph shifting to the south
                    around 9 mph after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...2 percent.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Max Temperature.....75-80...except around 70 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
Min Humidity........39-44 percent.
   24 HR Trend......4 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming west around 5 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Good (501).
Mixing Height.......5700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...8 percent.


$$

MIZ031>033-010815-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
251 PM EDT Sun Aug 31 2025

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (20-30 percent).
Min Temperature.....46-51.
   24 HR Trend......7 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent.
   24 HR Trend......2 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds.
Vent Rate...........Poor (24).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 6 mph shifting to the southeast
                    after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...1 percent.

.LABOR DAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent).
Max Temperature.....76-81...except 67-72 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........32-37 percent...except 48-53 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming south around 5 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Fair (257).
Mixing Height.......6200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 3 to 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...2 percent.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent).
Min Temperature.....50-55.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........89-94 percent.
   24 HR Trend......5 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds.
Vent Rate...........Poor (26).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast around 6 mph shifting to the
                    southeast around 9 mph after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...2 percent.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Max Temperature.....75-80...except 68-73 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
Min Humidity........35-40 percent...except 52-57 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......4 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming southwest around 5 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Good (579).
Mixing Height.......6900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...7 percent.


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-010815-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
251 PM EDT Sun Aug 31 2025

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent).
Min Temperature.....44-49.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 HR Trend......3 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds.
Vent Rate...........Poor (21).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...2 percent.

.LABOR DAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Max Temperature.....75-80.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
Min Humidity........32-37 percent.
   24 HR Trend......3 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming southeast around 5 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Good (306).
Mixing Height.......6300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...3 percent.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
Min Temperature.....49-54.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........93-98 percent.
   24 HR Trend......2 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Vent Rate...........Poor (23).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...3 percent.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
Max Temperature.....76-81.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Min Humidity........35-40 percent.
   24 HR Trend......2 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming south around 5 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Good (528).
Mixing Height.......7700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...7 percent.


$$

.EXTENDED...

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...COOLER. SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS
AROUND 60. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS AROUND 60. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
40S. HIGHS AROUND 60. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

SJC