Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI
713
FNUS53 KAPX 111848
FWFAPX
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
248 PM EDT Tue Aug 11 2026
...Mainly Rain Free Weather Continues Through Friday...
.DISCUSSION...While the majority of Michigans Northern Lower
Penisula is expected to remain precipitation-free through Friday,
a few isolated showers this Wednesday and Thursday afternoon will
likely be observed. Next chance of widespread precipitation
returns around the Saturday night/Sunday morning timeframe with
highest probabilities of QPF between a quarter to half inch.
MIZ016-017-021>023-099-120900-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
248 PM EDT Tue Aug 11 2026
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Patchy fog after
2400. Isolated rain showers after 2400.
Min Temperature.....56-61...except 63-68 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent...except 85-90 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......3 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds.
Vent Rate...........Poor (15).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 6 mph shifting to the southeast
after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.03 in .
Chance of Thunder...8 percent.
.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Patchy fog until
1200.
Max Temperature.....77-82...except 69-74 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........47-52 percent.
24 HR Trend......4 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming northwest around 5 mph in
the afternoon. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (463).
Mixing Height.......4800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.02 in .
Chance of Thunder...5 percent.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
Min Temperature.....54-59...except 62-67 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent...except 82-87 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......Unchanged...except 7 percent drier along the
coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds.
Vent Rate...........Poor (15).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .
Chance of Thunder...5 percent.
.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent).
Max Temperature.....75-80...except 68-73 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........47-52 percent.
24 HR Trend......1 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming north around 5 mph in the
afternoon. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (439).
Mixing Height.......3800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 6 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...7 percent.
$$
MIZ018-024-030-036-042-120900-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
248 PM EDT Tue Aug 11 2026
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Patchy fog after
2400. Isolated rain showers after 2400.
Min Temperature.....56-61...except 64-69 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent.
24 HR Trend......1 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds.
Vent Rate...........Poor (16).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East around 6 mph shifting to the southwest
after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.02 in .
Chance of Thunder...9 percent.
.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Patchy fog until
1200. Scattered rain showers and isolated
thunderstorms after 1200.
Max Temperature.....78-83...except 68-73 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler.
Min Humidity........50-55 percent.
24 HR Trend......6 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming northwest around 5 mph in
the afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Good (377).
Mixing Height.......4600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.15 in .
Chance of Thunder...19 percent.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Scattered rain
showers until 2400.
Min Temperature.....54-59...except 63-68 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent...except 85-90 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds.
Vent Rate...........Poor (19).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.07 in .
Chance of Thunder...13 percent.
.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent).
Max Temperature.....76-81...except 67-72 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........48-53 percent.
24 HR Trend......2 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming north around 5 mph in the
afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Good (337).
Mixing Height.......3500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...9 percent.
$$
MIZ020-025>027-120900-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
248 PM EDT Tue Aug 11 2026
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Patchy fog after
2400.
Min Temperature.....56-61...except 66-71 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent...except 85-90 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......1 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds.
Vent Rate...........Poor (16).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 6 mph shifting to the east after
midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .
Chance of Thunder...8 percent.
.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Patchy fog until
1200.
Max Temperature.....77-82...except 68-73 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........50-55 percent.
24 HR Trend......2 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming northwest around 5 mph in
the afternoon. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (375).
Mixing Height.......4100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast around 6 mph shifting to the
northwest around 9 mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...4 percent.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
Min Temperature.....54-59...except 65-70 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent...except 79-84 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......Unchanged...except 7 percent drier along the
coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds.
Vent Rate...........Poor (15).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 6 mph shifting to the east after
midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...4 percent.
.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent).
Max Temperature.....76-81...except 67-72 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........48-53 percent.
24 HR Trend......2 percent drier...except 6 percent wetter along
the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming north around 5 mph in the
afternoon. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (309).
Mixing Height.......3400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East around 6 mph shifting to the northeast
around 9 mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...6 percent.
$$
MIZ031>033-120900-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
248 PM EDT Tue Aug 11 2026
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Patchy fog after
2400.
Min Temperature.....57-62.
24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent.
24 HR Trend......1 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds.
Vent Rate...........Poor (16).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 6 mph shifting to the east after
midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.06 in .
Chance of Thunder...10 percent.
.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Patchy fog until
1200.
Max Temperature.....80-85...except 73-78 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........49-54 percent.
24 HR Trend......5 percent wetter...except 1 percent drier along
the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming northwest around 5 mph in
the afternoon. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (455).
Mixing Height.......4700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...5 percent.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
Min Temperature.....56-61.
24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent.
24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph in the evening
becoming light.
Vent Rate...........Poor (16).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 9 mph shifting to the east around
6 mph after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...5 percent.
.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent).
Max Temperature.....78-83.
24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........47-52 percent.
24 HR Trend......1 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming north around 5 mph in the
afternoon. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (412).
Mixing Height.......4500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 6 mph shifting to the
northeast around 9 mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...6 percent.
$$
MIZ028-029-034-035-041-120900-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
248 PM EDT Tue Aug 11 2026
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Patchy fog after
2400.
Min Temperature.....56-61.
24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent.
24 HR Trend......2 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds.
Vent Rate...........Poor (17).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.04 in .
Chance of Thunder...9 percent.
.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Patchy fog until
1200. Isolated showers and thunderstorms after
1200.
Max Temperature.....80-85.
24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler.
Min Humidity........49-54 percent.
24 HR Trend......6 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming northwest around 5 mph in
the afternoon. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (522).
Mixing Height.......5400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.06 in .
Chance of Thunder...19 percent.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
Min Temperature.....54-59.
24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent.
24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds.
Vent Rate...........Poor (14).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.03 in .
Chance of Thunder...13 percent.
.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent).
Max Temperature.....78-83.
24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........48-53 percent.
24 HR Trend......3 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming north around 5 mph in the
afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Good (416).
Mixing Height.......4700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...9 percent.
$$
.EXTENDED...
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
70S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS AROUND 80.
WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
$$
SJC