270
FNUS53 KAPX 181921
FWFAPX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
321 PM EDT Fri Apr 18 2025

...Cooler Saturday, Rain Returns Late Weekend...

.DISCUSSION...
A bit more moist today...with a subtle boundary hanging near the
M-32 corridor this afternoon. Winds a bit nebulous at times because
of this...with some lake breezes trying to develop. Boundary to
drop through this evening/tonight...with some showers and thunderstorms
still expected this evening. Could see rainfall around a half inch or so
tonight. Cooler Saturday behind the front...with highs in the 40s/50s...
and gusty NW winds. Afternoon RH concerns return Sunday before next chance
of rain Sunday night/Monday.


MIZ016-017-021>023-099-190830-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
321 PM EDT Fri Apr 18 2025

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Rain showers likely and
                    chance of thunderstorms until 2400, then chance
                    of rain showers and slight chance of
                    thunderstorms.
Min Temperature.....36-41.
   24 HR Trend......9 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........91-96 percent.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (40).
Mixing Height.......700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 6 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.18- 0.48 in.
Chance of Thunder...42 percent.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers until 1200.
Max Temperature.....45-50...except 37-42 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......19 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........45-50 percent.
   24 HR Trend......10 percent drier...except 3 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (726).
Mixing Height.......3400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent).
Min Temperature.....24-29...except around 31 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......11 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........87-92 percent.
   24 HR Trend......3 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light. Gusts up to 25 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (31).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 9 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent).
Max Temperature.....51-56...except 41-46 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......7 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........31-36 percent.
   24 HR Trend......16 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming east around 5 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Good (438).
Mixing Height.......3800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast around 6 mph shifting to the east
                    around 9 mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-190830-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
321 PM EDT Fri Apr 18 2025

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers until 2400. Chance of thunderstorms.
                    Rain showers likely after 2400.
Min Temperature.....41-46.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........89-94 percent...except 79-84 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts up
                    to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (39).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.25- 0.50 in.
Chance of Thunder...42 percent.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers until 1200.
Max Temperature.....51-56...except 38-43 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......19 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........41-46 percent.
   24 HR Trend......9 percent drier...except unchanged along the
                    coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 27 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (944).
Mixing Height.......4000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent).
Min Temperature.....26-31...except 33-38 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......14 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........85-90 percent...except 69-74 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......5 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (59).
Mixing Height.......600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 12 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent).
Max Temperature.....48-53...except around 41 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........33-38 percent.
   24 HR Trend......7 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                    east in the afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Fair (290).
Mixing Height.......3100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast around 9 mph shifting to the east in
                    the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.


$$

MIZ020-025>027-190830-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
321 PM EDT Fri Apr 18 2025

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Rain showers likely and
                    chance of thunderstorms until 2400, then chance
                    of rain showers and slight chance of
                    thunderstorms.
Min Temperature.....35-40.
   24 HR Trend......10 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........89-94 percent...except 77-82 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (37).
Mixing Height.......600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 9 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.12- 0.48 in.
Chance of Thunder...48 percent.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (65-75 percent).
Max Temperature.....45-50...except around 41 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......17 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........47-52 percent.
   24 HR Trend......13 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (522).
Mixing Height.......3200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 15 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (20-30 percent).
Min Temperature.....25-30...except 33-38 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......10 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........87-92 percent...except 73-78 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (21).
Mixing Height.......300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent).
Max Temperature.....53-58...except 38-43 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......8 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........29-34 percent.
   24 HR Trend......21 percent drier...except 10 percent drier
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming east around 5 mph in the
                    afternoon. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (480).
Mixing Height.......3900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.


$$

MIZ031>033-190830-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
321 PM EDT Fri Apr 18 2025

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Rain showers likely
                    until 2400. Chance of thunderstorms. Chance of
                    rain showers after 2400.
Min Temperature.....36-41.
   24 HR Trend......8 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........89-94 percent.
   24 HR Trend......10 percent drier...except unchanged along the
                    coast.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts up
                    to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (41).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West around 9 mph shifting to the northwest
                    around 15 mph after midnight.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.19- 0.38 in.
Chance of Thunder...53 percent.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent).
Max Temperature.....47-52...except 40-45 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......16 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........45-50 percent.
   24 HR Trend......19 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (652).
Mixing Height.......3800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
Min Temperature.....26-31.
   24 HR Trend......11 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........84-89 percent.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged...except 7 percent drier along the
                    coast.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (26).
Mixing Height.......300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent).
Max Temperature.....55-60...except 47-52 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......7 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........29-34 percent.
   24 HR Trend......18 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (574).
Mixing Height.......4100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-190830-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
321 PM EDT Fri Apr 18 2025

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers until 2400. Chance of thunderstorms.
                    Rain showers likely after 2400.
Min Temperature.....40-45.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........91-96 percent.
   24 HR Trend......2 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts up
                    to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (42).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.23- 0.47 in.
Chance of Thunder...46 percent.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent).
Max Temperature.....50-55.
   24 HR Trend......19 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........43-48 percent.
   24 HR Trend......12 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 10 mph .
Vent Rate...........Excellent (789).
Mixing Height.......3800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 18 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
Min Temperature.....26-31.
   24 HR Trend......14 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........86-91 percent.
   24 HR Trend......5 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (46).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 9 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent).
Max Temperature.....51-56.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........29-34 percent.
   24 HR Trend......13 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (441).
Mixing Height.......3700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast around 9 mph shifting to the east
                    around 12 mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.


$$

.EXTENDED...

.MONDAY...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S.
EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
60S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

FEF