Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI
604
FNUS53 KAPX 071849
FWFAPX
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
249 PM EDT Tue Oct 7 2025
...Trending cooler through midweek...
.DISCUSSION...A reinforcing cold front will cross northern lower MI
this afternoon through mid-evening. Occasionally gusty north-
northwest winds continue through the remainder of the day today,
trending downward tonight. An even cooler day is expected Wednesday
with highs largely in the 50s area-wide. RHs back into the 30-40%
range for the vast majority of northern lower on Wednesday, perhaps
falling into the upper 20s across some of the typically
drier/interior spots.
MIZ016-017-021>023-099-080815-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
249 PM EDT Tue Oct 7 2025
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent). Patchy frost
after 2400.
Min Temperature.....39-44.
24 HR Trend......9 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........89-94 percent...except 77-82 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......2 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts
up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (54).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Areas of frost
until 1200.
Max Temperature.....52-57.
24 HR Trend......9 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........34-39 percent.
24 HR Trend......1 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (593).
Mixing Height.......4600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent). Widespread frost
after 2400.
Min Temperature.....30-35...except 37-42 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......4 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent...except 84-89 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......3 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph in the evening
becoming light.
Vent Rate...........Poor (13).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast 3 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent). Widespread frost until
1200.
Max Temperature.....59-64.
24 HR Trend......7 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........28-33 percent.
24 HR Trend......3 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming south around 5 mph in the
afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Good (326).
Mixing Height.......4300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 3 to 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
$$
MIZ018-024-030-036-042-080815-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
249 PM EDT Tue Oct 7 2025
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent). Patchy frost
after 2400.
Min Temperature.....39-44.
24 HR Trend......12 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........89-94 percent...except 74-79 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......1 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (46).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent). Areas of frost until
1200.
Max Temperature.....54-59...except 47-52 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......10 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........32-37 percent.
24 HR Trend......2 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (714).
Mixing Height.......4800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent). Widespread frost
after 2400.
Min Temperature.....28-33...except around 40 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......4 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent...except 74-79 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......8 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph in the evening
becoming light.
Vent Rate...........Poor (17).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent). Widespread frost until
1200.
Max Temperature.....58-63...except 50-55 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........32-37 percent.
24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming south around 5 mph in the
afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Good (328).
Mixing Height.......4500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West around 3 mph shifting to the south around
6 mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
$$
MIZ020-025>027-080815-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
249 PM EDT Tue Oct 7 2025
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent). Patchy frost
after 2400.
Min Temperature.....36-41...except 47-52 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......9 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........91-96 percent...except 69-74 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......Unchanged...except 10 percent drier along the
coast.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (38).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Areas of frost
until 1200.
Max Temperature.....53-58.
24 HR Trend......8 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........35-40 percent.
24 HR Trend......1 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (573).
Mixing Height.......4600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent). Widespread frost
after 2400.
Min Temperature.....26-31...except 44-49 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......14 degrees cooler...except 8 degrees cooler
near the coast.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent...except 77-82 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......Unchanged...except 14 percent wetter along the
coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph in the evening
becoming light.
Vent Rate...........Poor (23).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast around 9 mph shifting to the east
around 6 mph after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent). Widespread frost until
1200.
Max Temperature.....59-64.
24 HR Trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........31-36 percent.
24 HR Trend......4 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming south around 5 mph in the
afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Good (325).
Mixing Height.......4300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
$$
MIZ031>033-080815-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
249 PM EDT Tue Oct 7 2025
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (20-30 percent). Patchy frost
after 2400.
Min Temperature.....36-41.
24 HR Trend......13 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........89-94 percent.
24 HR Trend......1 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (25).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent). Areas of frost
until 1200.
Max Temperature.....55-60.
24 HR Trend......7 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........32-37 percent.
24 HR Trend......2 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (585).
Mixing Height.......4700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent). Widespread frost
after 2400.
Min Temperature.....28-33.
24 HR Trend......5 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........92-97 percent.
24 HR Trend......9 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph in the evening
becoming light.
Vent Rate...........Poor (24).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast around 9 mph shifting to the east
around 6 mph after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent). Widespread frost until
1200.
Max Temperature.....60-65.
24 HR Trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........31-36 percent.
24 HR Trend......2 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming south around 5 mph in the
afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Good (328).
Mixing Height.......4500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
$$
MIZ028-029-034-035-041-080815-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
249 PM EDT Tue Oct 7 2025
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (20-30 percent). Areas of frost
after 2400.
Min Temperature.....36-41.
24 HR Trend......14 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........90-95 percent.
24 HR Trend......1 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (34).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent). Areas of frost until
1200.
Max Temperature.....55-60.
24 HR Trend......8 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........31-36 percent.
24 HR Trend......5 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (616).
Mixing Height.......5000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (0-10 percent). Widespread frost
after 2400.
Min Temperature.....26-31.
24 HR Trend......6 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent.
24 HR Trend......8 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph in the evening
becoming light.
Vent Rate...........Poor (15).
Mixing Height.......300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent). Widespread frost until
1200.
Max Temperature.....57-62.
24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........31-36 percent.
24 HR Trend......3 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming south around 5 mph in the
afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Fair (287).
Mixing Height.......4500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East around 3 mph shifting to the south around
6 mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
$$
.EXTENDED...
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. AREAS OF FROST. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.COLUMBUS DAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
$$
MJG