580
FNUS53 KAPX 250701
FWFAPX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
301 AM EDT Sat Jul 25 2026

...No significant fire weather concerns...

.DISCUSSION...While an isolated shower or storm is possible today
through Sunday across northern lower MI,  better chances for showers
and thunderstorms arrive Sunday night and Monday. Could see some
isolated heavier rain totals by Tuesday morning. Low level moisture
profiles will also increase, keeping afternoon relative humidity
values well above critical levels the next several days. Southwest
winds do become a bit gusty at times today, nearing or exceeding
critical levels during the afternoon hours. Lighter winds expected
Sunday into early next week, albeit potentially gusty/erratic near
any thunderstorms.


MIZ016-017-021>023-099-252015-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
301 AM EDT Sat Jul 25 2026

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Max Temperature.....79-84...except 70-75 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Min Humidity........39-44 percent...except 49-54 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......14 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (668).
Mixing Height.......4600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 12 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...4 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent) until 2400, then
                    partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Chance of
                    showers after 2400.
Min Temperature.....62-67.
   24 HR Trend......7 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 HR Trend......10 percent wetter...except 19 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (29).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.09 in .
Chance of Thunder...13 percent.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Max Temperature.....82-87...except 73-78 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........40-45 percent...except 53-58 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent drier...except 5 percent wetter along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming southwest around 5 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Good (469).
Mixing Height.......4700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.04 in .
Chance of Thunder...11 percent.


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-252015-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
301 AM EDT Sat Jul 25 2026

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Max Temperature.....80-85...except 70-75 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........37-42 percent.
   24 HR Trend......3 percent wetter...except 8 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (584).
Mixing Height.......5200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...3 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Chance of
                    showers and slight chance of thunderstorms
                    after 2400.
Min Temperature.....61-66.
   24 HR Trend......6 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 HR Trend......9 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Vent Rate...........Poor (26).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.04 in .
Chance of Thunder...18 percent.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Max Temperature.....85-90...except 70-75 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........42-47 percent.
   24 HR Trend......3 percent wetter...except 17 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming south around 5 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Good (350).
Mixing Height.......4300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.03 in .
Chance of Thunder...18 percent.


$$

MIZ020-025>027-252015-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
301 AM EDT Sat Jul 25 2026

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Max Temperature.....78-83...except 69-74 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........45-50 percent.
   24 HR Trend......6 percent wetter...except 14 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (638).
Mixing Height.......4200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 12 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...3 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms.
Min Temperature.....61-66...except 68-73 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......7 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 HR Trend......4 percent wetter...except 19 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (30).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.09 in .
Chance of Thunder...18 percent.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Max Temperature.....83-88...except 73-78 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........43-48 percent.
   24 HR Trend......3 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming southwest around 5 mph in
                    the afternoon. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (471).
Mixing Height.......4600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.07 in .
Chance of Thunder...23 percent.


$$

MIZ031>033-252015-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
301 AM EDT Sat Jul 25 2026

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Max Temperature.....78-83.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........45-50 percent...except 60-65 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......13 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (639).
Mixing Height.......4700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...2 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms after 2400.
Min Temperature.....62-67.
   24 HR Trend......9 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 HR Trend......10 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (31).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.11 in .
Chance of Thunder...20 percent.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Max Temperature.....84-89.
   24 HR Trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........42-47 percent...except 57-62 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......14 percent drier...except 1 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming southwest around 5 mph in
                    the afternoon. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (613).
Mixing Height.......6000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.12 in .
Chance of Thunder...26 percent.


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-252015-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
301 AM EDT Sat Jul 25 2026

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Max Temperature.....81-86.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........41-46 percent.
   24 HR Trend......11 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (664).
Mixing Height.......5700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 9 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...3 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Chance of
                    showers and slight chance of thunderstorms
                    after 2400.
Min Temperature.....59-64.
   24 HR Trend......9 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 HR Trend......6 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (31).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.07 in .
Chance of Thunder...18 percent.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Max Temperature.....86-91.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........40-45 percent.
   24 HR Trend......2 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming west around 5 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (676).
Mixing Height.......7100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.03 in .
Chance of Thunder...15 percent.


$$

.EXTENDED...

.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE
MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. NORTH WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 70S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS AROUND 80.
NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

MJG