Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI
830
FNUS53 KAPX 191819
FWFAPX
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
219 PM EDT Tue Aug 19 2025
...Gradually Trending Drier and Sunnier into Wednesday...
.DISCUSSION... Cloudy, drizzly regime set to carry through tonight,
only furthering the moisture on the ground. Skies eventually
clear out through the morning into the afternoon on Wednesday,
which will lead to temperatures recovering well into the 70s in
the afternoon. A drier airmass will build and lead to decreasing
dewpoints through the afternoon, but still anticipating RHs to
hold in the 40s and 50s across the interior during peak mixing.
Persistent NNE winds, sustained 10mph, gusting over 15mph at
times, will prevail through the day. Looking ahead, temperatures
warm back into the 80s Thursday and beyond, with rain chances
returning this weekend, along with some cooler weather by the
close of the weekend.
MIZ016-017-021>023-099-200815-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
219 PM EDT Tue Aug 19 2025
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Slight chance of
rain showers and patchy drizzle until 2400.
Min Temperature.....55-60.
24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent.
24 HR Trend......7 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph in the evening
becoming light.
Vent Rate...........Poor (31).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...22 percent.
.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent).
Max Temperature.....74-79.
24 HR Trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........50-55 percent.
24 HR Trend......33 percent drier...except 26 percent drier
along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (479).
Mixing Height.......3900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...3 percent.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
Min Temperature.....56-61.
24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent.
24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph in the evening
becoming light.
Vent Rate...........Poor (17).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...1 percent.
.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Max Temperature.....78-83...except 69-74 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........44-49 percent.
24 HR Trend......7 percent drier...except unchanged along the
coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming northeast around 5 mph in
the afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Good (379).
Mixing Height.......4800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
$$
MIZ018-024-030-036-042-200815-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
219 PM EDT Tue Aug 19 2025
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Slight chance of
rain showers and patchy drizzle until 2400.
Min Temperature.....56-61.
24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent.
24 HR Trend......9 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (65).
Mixing Height.......600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...28 percent.
.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent).
Max Temperature.....73-78...except around 70 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........52-57 percent.
24 HR Trend......31 percent drier...except 25 percent drier
along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts
up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (538).
Mixing Height.......3600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...7 percent.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent).
Min Temperature.....52-57...except 63-68 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent.
24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph in the evening
becoming light. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (28).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...2 percent.
.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Max Temperature.....76-81...except around 71 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........45-50 percent.
24 HR Trend......4 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
gusts up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (390).
Mixing Height.......4100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...1 percent.
$$
MIZ020-025>027-200815-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
219 PM EDT Tue Aug 19 2025
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent).
Min Temperature.....54-59...except 64-69 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......4 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent.
24 HR Trend......6 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph in the evening
becoming light.
Vent Rate...........Poor (34).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...23 percent.
.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent).
Max Temperature.....75-80...except around 71 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......10 degrees warmer...except 5 degrees warmer
near the coast.
Min Humidity........50-55 percent.
24 HR Trend......33 percent drier...except 21 percent drier
along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (505).
Mixing Height.......3800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast 9 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...4 percent.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent).
Min Temperature.....53-58...except 64-69 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent.
24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph in the evening
becoming light. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (23).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast 6 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...1 percent.
.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Max Temperature.....79-84...except 68-73 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........42-47 percent.
24 HR Trend......7 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming northeast around 5 mph in
the afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Good (365).
Mixing Height.......4600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...1 percent.
$$
MIZ031>033-200815-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
219 PM EDT Tue Aug 19 2025
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent).
Min Temperature.....54-59.
24 HR Trend......5 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent.
24 HR Trend......3 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph in the evening
becoming light.
Vent Rate...........Poor (49).
Mixing Height.......600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...25 percent.
.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent).
Max Temperature.....75-80.
24 HR Trend......10 degrees warmer...except 4 degrees warmer
near the coast.
Min Humidity........50-55 percent.
24 HR Trend......33 percent drier...except 20 percent drier
along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (578).
Mixing Height.......4400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...5 percent.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
Min Temperature.....53-58.
24 HR Trend......4 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent.
24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph in the evening
becoming light. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (30).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...1 percent.
.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Max Temperature.....81-86...except 73-78 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........41-46 percent.
24 HR Trend......10 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming northeast around 5 mph in
the afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Good (463).
Mixing Height.......5500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...1 percent.
$$
MIZ028-029-034-035-041-200815-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
219 PM EDT Tue Aug 19 2025
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Slight chance of
rain showers and patchy drizzle until 2400.
Min Temperature.....55-60.
24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent.
24 HR Trend......5 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (59).
Mixing Height.......600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...31 percent.
.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent).
Max Temperature.....74-79.
24 HR Trend......7 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........50-55 percent.
24 HR Trend......24 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (647).
Mixing Height.......4600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...5 percent.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
Min Temperature.....52-57.
24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent.
24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph in the evening
becoming light.
Vent Rate...........Poor (30).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...1 percent.
.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Max Temperature.....77-82.
24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........41-46 percent.
24 HR Trend......10 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
gusts up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (487).
Mixing Height.......5400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...1 percent.
$$
.EXTENDED...
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
80S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
$$
HAD