Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI

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FNUS53 KAPX 041932
FWFAPX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
332 PM EDT Fri Jul 4 2025

...Partly to mostly cloudy tonight with building humidity...

.DISCUSSION... Partly to mostly cloudy skies continue tonight
along with dew point temperatures slowly increasing, keeping RH`s
well above critical thresholds this weekend. Highs will build
into the low 90s for most locations this Saturday with
breezy southwest winds gusting into the low 20s. Most areas
remain precipitation free until showers and storms moves across
the region Saturday night, but a few pop-up showers remain
possible this Saturday.



MIZ016-017-021>023-099-050830-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
332 PM EDT Fri Jul 4 2025

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers until 2400.
Min Temperature.....69-74.
   24 HR Trend......22 degrees warmer...except 15 degrees warmer
                    near the coast.
Max Humidity........84-89 percent.
   24 HR Trend......13 percent drier...except 6 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (38).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...13 percent.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Max Temperature.....90-95...except around 81 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........27-32 percent.
   24 HR Trend......7 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 27 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (1482).
Mixing Height.......5500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 18 to 27 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...4 percent.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent). Showers likely
                    after 2400.
Min Temperature.....65-70.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........88-93 percent.
   24 HR Trend......10 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 27 mph.
Vent Rate...........Fair (171).
Mixing Height.......900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.03- 0.28 in.
Chance of Thunder...26 percent.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Showers likely
                    until 1200Chance of showers after 1200.
Max Temperature.....76-81...except 64-69 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......15 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........64-69 percent.
   24 HR Trend......39 percent wetter...except 32 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts up
                    to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (425).
Mixing Height.......2700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West around 18 mph shifting to the northwest
                    around 12 mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.05- 0.11 in.
Chance of Thunder...20 percent.


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-050830-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
332 PM EDT Fri Jul 4 2025

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent) until 2400, then
                    mostly cloudy (45-55 percent).
Min Temperature.....65-70.
   24 HR Trend......19 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........88-93 percent...except 76-81 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......9 percent drier...except 3 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (49).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...12 percent.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Max Temperature.....90-95...except 80-85 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......8 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........27-32 percent.
   24 HR Trend......9 percent drier...except 16 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (1341).
Mixing Height.......5700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 15 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...9 percent.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent).
Min Temperature.....68-73.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........85-90 percent...except 69-74 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......8 percent drier...except 16 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (104).
Mixing Height.......600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.13 in .
Chance of Thunder...12 percent.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (65-75 percent). Chance of
                    showers.
Max Temperature.....81-86...except 67-72 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......15 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........61-66 percent.
   24 HR Trend......35 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 10 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (692).
Mixing Height.......4000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 18 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.05- 0.12 in.
Chance of Thunder...24 percent.


$$

MIZ020-025>027-050830-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
332 PM EDT Fri Jul 4 2025

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms until 2400.
Min Temperature.....69-74.
   24 HR Trend......16 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........84-89 percent...except 74-79 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......9 percent drier...except 4 percent wetter along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (73).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...17 percent.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Max Temperature.....90-95...except 67-72 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........28-33 percent.
   24 HR Trend......2 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 27 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (1543).
Mixing Height.......5500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 18 to 27 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...2 percent.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent). Chance of
                    showers until 2400. Chance of thunderstorms.
                    Showers likely after 2400.
Min Temperature.....63-68.
   24 HR Trend......7 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........93-98 percent...except 82-87 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......15 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 27 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (335).
Mixing Height.......1700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.04- 0.59 in.
Chance of Thunder...28 percent.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of
                    showers.
Max Temperature.....74-79...except 64-69 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......17 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........66-71 percent.
   24 HR Trend......40 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts up
                    to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (357).
Mixing Height.......2200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.10 in .
Chance of Thunder...16 percent.


$$

MIZ031>033-050830-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
332 PM EDT Fri Jul 4 2025

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms until 2400.
Min Temperature.....68-73.
   24 HR Trend......16 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........82-87 percent.
   24 HR Trend......16 percent drier...except 6 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (63).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...17 percent.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
Max Temperature.....89-94.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........29-34 percent...except 40-45 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......4 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 27 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (1687).
Mixing Height.......6200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 18 to 27 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...1 percent.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent) until 2400, then
                    mostly cloudy (55-65 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms after 2400.
Min Temperature.....65-70.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........91-96 percent.
   24 HR Trend......6 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (375).
Mixing Height.......1900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.02- 0.59 in.
Chance of Thunder...29 percent.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of
                    showers.
Max Temperature.....75-80.
   24 HR Trend......15 degrees cooler...except 10 degrees cooler
                    near the coast.
Min Humidity........62-67 percent.
   24 HR Trend......34 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts up
                    to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (365).
Mixing Height.......2200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West around 15 mph shifting to the northwest
                    around 12 mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.09 in .
Chance of Thunder...21 percent.


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-050830-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
332 PM EDT Fri Jul 4 2025

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms until 2400.
Min Temperature.....67-72.
   24 HR Trend......19 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........88-93 percent.
   24 HR Trend......3 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (35).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...16 percent.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Max Temperature.....90-95.
   24 HR Trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........28-33 percent.
   24 HR Trend......2 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (1849).
Mixing Height.......7400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 15 to 24 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...5 percent.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
Min Temperature.....68-73.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........84-89 percent.
   24 HR Trend......6 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (124).
Mixing Height.......700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.12 in .
Chance of Thunder...16 percent.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of
                    showers.
Max Temperature.....81-86.
   24 HR Trend......12 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........61-66 percent.
   24 HR Trend......37 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts up
                    to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (633).
Mixing Height.......3900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 15 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.10 in .
Chance of Thunder...22 percent.


$$

.EXTENDED...

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 70S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
80S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 60.
HIGHS AROUND 80. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

SJC