361
FNUS53 KAPX 310928
FWFAPX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
528 AM EDT Sun Aug 31 2025

...Rain-Free Weather Continues...

.DISCUSSION...

Stretch of rain-free weather will continue today into the first half
of this week across northern Michigan with highs in the 70s for
most. Light and variable winds around 5 mph or less will allow for
lake breeze formation this afternoon which will push inland from all
lakeshores. Efficient daytime mixing will drop RHs down between 30-
40 percent again this afternoon where localized areas could see near-
critical RHs for a brief time this afternoon. Similar minimum RHs
are anticipated Monday and Tuesday. Rain chances will return on
Wednesday and last through the end of the week.

MIZ016-017-021>023-099-312015-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
528 AM EDT Sun Aug 31 2025

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Patchy fog until
                    1200.
Max Temperature.....74-79...except around 70 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........34-39 percent...except 47-52 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 percent wetter...except 4 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming northwest around 5 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Fair (200).
Mixing Height.......4700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 6 mph shifting to the
                    northwest in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...2 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
Min Temperature.....47-52...except 54-59 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........93-98 percent.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds.
Vent Rate...........Poor (20).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast around 6 mph shifting to the south
                    after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...2 percent.

.LABOR DAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Max Temperature.....77-82...except 67-72 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........38-43 percent...except 48-53 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming southwest around 5 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Fair (195).
Mixing Height.......4800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...3 percent.


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-312015-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
528 AM EDT Sun Aug 31 2025

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
Max Temperature.....74-79...except 64-69 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........36-41 percent.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming east around 5 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Fair (208).
Mixing Height.......4500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 6 mph shifting to the east in
                    the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...2 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
Min Temperature.....43-48...except 52-57 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Vent Rate...........Poor (22).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...2 percent.

.LABOR DAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Max Temperature.....75-80...except around 70 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........36-41 percent.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming southeast around 5 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Fair (276).
Mixing Height.......4700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...4 percent.


$$

MIZ020-025>027-312015-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
528 AM EDT Sun Aug 31 2025

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent).
Max Temperature.....74-79...except around 70 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........34-39 percent.
   24 HR Trend......2 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming northwest around 5 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Fair (191).
Mixing Height.......4800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 3 mph shifting to the east around
                    6 mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...1 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
Min Temperature.....45-50...except 54-59 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer...except 7 degrees warmer near
                    the coast.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds.
Vent Rate...........Poor (20).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 6 mph shifting to the southeast
                    after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...1 percent.

.LABOR DAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Max Temperature.....76-81...except around 71 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........38-43 percent.
   24 HR Trend......3 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds.
Vent Rate...........Fair (225).
Mixing Height.......4900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...2 percent.


$$

MIZ031>033-312015-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
528 AM EDT Sun Aug 31 2025

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent). Patchy fog until 1200.
Max Temperature.....74-79.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........29-34 percent...except 43-48 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......6 percent wetter...except 7 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds.
Vent Rate...........Fair (225).
Mixing Height.......5500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East around 3 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...1 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
Min Temperature.....43-48.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds.
Vent Rate...........Poor (24).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast around 6 mph shifting to the
                    southeast after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...1 percent.

.LABOR DAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Max Temperature.....76-81...except 68-73 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........35-40 percent...except 48-53 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......5 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming south around 5 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Fair (263).
Mixing Height.......6000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...2 percent.


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-312015-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
528 AM EDT Sun Aug 31 2025

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent). Patchy fog until 1200.
Max Temperature.....74-79.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........30-35 percent.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds.
Vent Rate...........Fair (225).
Mixing Height.......6100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 3 mph shifting to the east in the
                    afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...2 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent). Patchy fog after
                    2400.
Min Temperature.....41-46.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds.
Vent Rate...........Poor (21).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...2 percent.

.LABOR DAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent). Patchy fog until 1200.
Max Temperature.....76-81.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........35-40 percent.
   24 HR Trend......4 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming southeast around 5 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Fair (285).
Mixing Height.......6500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...3 percent.


$$

.EXTENDED...

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...COOLER. SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.

$$

DJC