189
FNUS53 KAPX 301908
FWFAPX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
308 PM EDT Tue Sep 30 2025

...East winds and Cooler for Midweek, then Warmer Late Week...

.DISCUSSION...
Breezy east winds to continue into Wednesday, becoming a little
southeast going into Wednesday night...and more south on Thursday.
Points near the Lake Michigan coast to see winds remain a bit more
northerly through this afternoon...with some lake breezes possible
again Wednesday. RH concerns will be near the US-131 corridor,
perhaps right up to the Lake Michigan coast today, especially where
downsloping is favored on east to north flow...to enhance warming
and drying. Expect a cooler day Wednesday, and may not be as dry,
with RHs likely stopping in the 30-40 percent range, though possible
a few locales near US-131 could again drop below 30 percent. Driest
air to pivot from Lake Huron to Lake Michigan Wednesday
night/Thursday...with lower RHs again on Thursday. Flow to turn more
southwesterly late week, with a warming trend expected again; rain
chances most likely hold off till early next week, but could be as
early as Friday/Saturday.

MIZ016-017-021>023-099-010815-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
308 PM EDT Tue Sep 30 2025

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent).
Min Temperature.....44-49...except around 51 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........88-93 percent...except 78-83 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......7 percent drier...except 14 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts up
                    to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (50).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent).
Max Temperature.....68-73...except 60-65 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........43-48 percent.
   24 HR Trend......4 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (341).
Mixing Height.......3000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent).
Min Temperature.....44-49...except 52-57 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Max Humidity........88-93 percent...except 76-81 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......7 percent wetter...except 2 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (47).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent).
Max Temperature.....71-76...except 64-69 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........30-35 percent.
   24 HR Trend......17 percent drier...except 10 percent drier
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (316).
Mixing Height.......2900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-010815-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
308 PM EDT Tue Sep 30 2025

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent).
Min Temperature.....44-49...except 53-58 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler.
Max Humidity........89-94 percent...except 73-78 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......9 percent drier...except 17 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts up
                    to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (49).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Max Temperature.....65-70...except around 61 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........43-48 percent.
   24 HR Trend......7 percent drier...except 7 percent wetter along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (349).
Mixing Height.......2700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent).
Min Temperature.....43-48...except 53-58 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler.
Max Humidity........92-97 percent...except 70-75 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......9 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (38).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent).
Max Temperature.....68-73...except 58-63 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........36-41 percent.
   24 HR Trend......4 percent drier...except 11 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph .
Vent Rate...........Fair (284).
Mixing Height.......2500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.


$$

MIZ020-025>027-010815-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
308 PM EDT Tue Sep 30 2025

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (20-30 percent) until 2400, then
                    mostly cloudy (45-55 percent).
Min Temperature.....45-50...except 55-60 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........85-90 percent...except 74-79 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......6 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (54).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent).
Max Temperature.....70-75...except 62-67 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......9 degrees cooler...except 3 degrees cooler near
                    the coast.
Min Humidity........44-49 percent.
   24 HR Trend......7 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (320).
Mixing Height.......3500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent).
Min Temperature.....45-50...except 56-61 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Max Humidity........81-86 percent...except 66-71 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......5 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (42).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent).
Max Temperature.....71-76...except 63-68 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
Min Humidity........32-37 percent.
   24 HR Trend......10 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (321).
Mixing Height.......2800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.


$$

MIZ031>033-010815-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
308 PM EDT Tue Sep 30 2025

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
Min Temperature.....47-52.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........85-90 percent...except 76-81 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......6 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (53).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent).
Max Temperature.....70-75.
   24 HR Trend......7 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........42-47 percent.
   24 HR Trend......10 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (333).
Mixing Height.......3500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent).
Min Temperature.....46-51.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler.
Max Humidity........80-85 percent...except 70-75 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......9 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (45).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent).
Max Temperature.....72-77.
   24 HR Trend......6 degrees warmer...except 1 degree cooler near
                    the coast.
Min Humidity........31-36 percent...except 40-45 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......10 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (353).
Mixing Height.......3000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-010815-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
308 PM EDT Tue Sep 30 2025

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (20-30 percent).
Min Temperature.....44-49.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Max Humidity........91-96 percent.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (47).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent).
Max Temperature.....67-72.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........42-47 percent.
   24 HR Trend......9 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 5 mph .
Vent Rate...........Good (370).
Mixing Height.......3300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent).
Min Temperature.....42-47.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........89-94 percent.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 5 mph in the evening becoming
                    light.
Vent Rate...........Poor (38).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent).
Max Temperature.....68-73.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........31-36 percent.
   24 HR Trend......9 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (306).
Mixing Height.......2800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.


$$

.EXTENDED...

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S.
SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS AROUND 80.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

FEF